Hard red wheat

[errolanderson]

boarder . . . for the Dow to follow crude oil is unusual. The U.S. stated a few weeks ago that falling crude prices would benefit their recovery. They quickly found out, that isn't the case. Suddenly, U.S. equities followed oil for direction.

U.S. GDP is apt to fall into negative territory (IMO), despite all the political hype of job growth (low wage jobs) in the U.S. economy. Negative interest rates are also not talked about stateside even though it is a risk over the next 2 to 3 years.

But you bring up a good question; are recent gains across U.S. equities the result of real economic growth or just the flow-of-money generated by artificial stimulus?

[boarderbloke]

errol, don't forget this is an election year. obama, does not and will not allow a drop in the DOW to be part of his legacy! He's tight with those that will do everything to keep the DOW up.

[errolanderson]

boarder . . . Obama isn't bigger than the markets (IMO) . . . U.S. debt is far too out-of-control for any U.S. president to have much of a say anymore.

[wakopa]

Guess I better not say what I'm getting, that would be called boasting again.

[farming101]

Hey Wakopa, are you pricing any 2017 crop yet?

[freewheat]

Klause, you had pasteur last year, correct? Was it as ridiculously late as the book says it is? I am not in a quality region, and so I grow for the barns, who are usually pretty competitive with hrs bids anyway.

Do you have any for sale at all? Fire me a text if you want, I may get it in 12 or 13 years... lol I mainly worry about the several days later issue, which in my wet zone, can mean 2 weeks.

[ajl]

I would not be too excited about locking in 6.50 before it is in the bin. Likely get that anyways after harvest and then you know what you have. That being said there is grain still in bags in central AB. Only time to get at them is about 6 am as the ground is soft the rest of the day.

[farmaholic]

farming101, if you make pie charts could you show Canada's share of both world production and one of Canada's share of world trade in wheat.

They tell us the world may be awash in wheat but wouldn't it matter who has it and who needs it? Some countries are big producers but consume a lot of their production domestically.

[wakopa]

already priced for 2017.just got in from happy place,things are good,grain moving good,prices good,screw the cwb,screw the ndp,we have a good time here.

[farmaholic]

Wakopa, reveal the details, nothing wrong with boasting(?), show us better than average "is" possible. Maybe give me something to strive towards or exceed.

[farming101]

Hey Farma, no good charts at hand. Check out the latest US Wheat Associates forecast.
Canada produces about 4% of world wheat and exports are 14% of world trade??

[URL="http://www.uswheat.org/supplyDemand"]http://www.uswheat.org/supplyDemand[/URL]

I mentioned a bit ago that some of the increase in ending stocks were in countries like
China. Does it really matter? China's ending stocks are forecast to grow and so are their imports?

However the main thing is the large US stocks situation. Easily accessible, just not priced right.
That together with production forecasts is keeping a lid on things.

Good to see the latest stability in wheat futures.

[farmaholic]

WOW... in Weber's newsletter an article from Reuters...Japan sells imported wheat to domestic millers for $621.43CAD or $16.91 per bushel.

Was our state trading agency hurting us as much as Japan's Ministry. I doubt(but actually have no idea) you could export direct to that market and by-pass the Japanese Ministry...

I wonder what it's worth landed in Japan before the government takes their margin?