Agstar77,
In February… I sat and took the grin (AND THE AMUSMENT of WHAT FOOLS we ARE)... of an international miller... as he pointed out that the CWB would supply all the high quality milling wheat... and retain/reserve it for them... at no cost... while the rest of the US growers swept out their bins and cashed in on the highest prices in history.
WE 'Designated Area' wheat growers are the residual suppliers... that fill in these millers supply gaps... because the logistics of taking delivery from us are so crude, we are forced to hold the high quality milling wheat reserve... and are taking a hit of inventory loss of over $400/t on our carry over wheats.
Why should anyone give the premium prices to 'designated area' growers... when the miller knows the CWB sticks the premium in the pool... and no grower will ever see it anyway!
Wait for 2 months... and CWB high quality milling wheat will be flowing at just as high a rate @ $450/t... as it did when the CWB offering price was $950/t.
There was no real incentive for any international miller to buy Canadian Wheat Board milling wheat stocks... the CWB had discounts in place and assured delivery (Such as Canada can deliver)... for summer fall delivery. And what commercial 'designated area' wheat grower can do anything about this?
NOT ONE THING.
WE ARE STUCK... with the $400-500/t discount... and the international miller grinned as we talked this through.
This is our insane marketing monopoly at its finest. Every miller knows/knew in Feb/Mar. as the US crop is harvested this spring in Texas... then Kansas... that our CWB milling wheat prices would drop like a rock, except for you Agstar77? The CWB already told everyone logistics were maxed out... so higher prices to 'designated area' growers simply were not offered... because there was no way for our system of logistics to deliver... and no need in any event to offer the higher prices!
Just like for Malt barley! Why pay growers in the 'designated area' the l'st $100/t premium... when the end user gets no better value or service... because of CWB pooling... and just wastes that $100/t...
They know if they are just a little patient... in a few weeks or months... the CWB will always arbitrage down the price anyway! The CWB HAS NO INVENTORY COST... because the monopoly prevents growers from that portion of our due diligence returns.
$50/t is absolutely pocket change... to what true costs for us as 'designated area' Barley, Wheat and Durum growers are paying... Aggie.
Give your head a shake... Open your eyes for just one second!
ANd so every other buyer... in every other crop... knows this is coming on new crop Board grains...
and,
Guess what Aggie... they have no good reason to bid up our fall prices they will pay us!
If it weren't for Canola...
we would be totally up the creek... because Canola is traded internationally in an open market...
and we growers get the arbitraged prices (Except the grain co's can easily put the shoes to us on the basis without a basis contract)!
In February… I sat and took the grin (AND THE AMUSMENT of WHAT FOOLS we ARE)... of an international miller... as he pointed out that the CWB would supply all the high quality milling wheat... and retain/reserve it for them... at no cost... while the rest of the US growers swept out their bins and cashed in on the highest prices in history.
WE 'Designated Area' wheat growers are the residual suppliers... that fill in these millers supply gaps... because the logistics of taking delivery from us are so crude, we are forced to hold the high quality milling wheat reserve... and are taking a hit of inventory loss of over $400/t on our carry over wheats.
Why should anyone give the premium prices to 'designated area' growers... when the miller knows the CWB sticks the premium in the pool... and no grower will ever see it anyway!
Wait for 2 months... and CWB high quality milling wheat will be flowing at just as high a rate @ $450/t... as it did when the CWB offering price was $950/t.
There was no real incentive for any international miller to buy Canadian Wheat Board milling wheat stocks... the CWB had discounts in place and assured delivery (Such as Canada can deliver)... for summer fall delivery. And what commercial 'designated area' wheat grower can do anything about this?
NOT ONE THING.
WE ARE STUCK... with the $400-500/t discount... and the international miller grinned as we talked this through.
This is our insane marketing monopoly at its finest. Every miller knows/knew in Feb/Mar. as the US crop is harvested this spring in Texas... then Kansas... that our CWB milling wheat prices would drop like a rock, except for you Agstar77? The CWB already told everyone logistics were maxed out... so higher prices to 'designated area' growers simply were not offered... because there was no way for our system of logistics to deliver... and no need in any event to offer the higher prices!
Just like for Malt barley! Why pay growers in the 'designated area' the l'st $100/t premium... when the end user gets no better value or service... because of CWB pooling... and just wastes that $100/t...
They know if they are just a little patient... in a few weeks or months... the CWB will always arbitrage down the price anyway! The CWB HAS NO INVENTORY COST... because the monopoly prevents growers from that portion of our due diligence returns.
$50/t is absolutely pocket change... to what true costs for us as 'designated area' Barley, Wheat and Durum growers are paying... Aggie.
Give your head a shake... Open your eyes for just one second!
ANd so every other buyer... in every other crop... knows this is coming on new crop Board grains...
and,
Guess what Aggie... they have no good reason to bid up our fall prices they will pay us!
If it weren't for Canola...
we would be totally up the creek... because Canola is traded internationally in an open market...
and we growers get the arbitraged prices (Except the grain co's can easily put the shoes to us on the basis without a basis contract)!
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