If we have a bumper crop every year then that would be the average. The start that our crops have had here we will be lucky to get a crop. Optimism is good but the crop has to get going to have any chance.
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WE'RE ALL GOING TO BE EATING CROW!!
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Snappy
I think you are out to lunch on this. The global crop is not going to be as big as they are saying. The cwb has already reduced their supply to the world by 20%. Thats the milling quality that everyone needs to be able to buy the shit from russia and the ukraine. I will be happy to run an average crop this year and thats after putting more to it than last.
Maybe you are trying to talk the crop prices down, but I haven't figured out why.
After looking at the best pea crops and knowing they are 2 weeks behind - I do not know why pea prices are not at 7 bucks yet. Sure there may be more acres but there is going to be less production. Harvesting peas in september never is a productive job. Quality may be down as well.
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Canola should be bolting this week and barley should be starting to head out. Some of the early canola is starting to bolt in a last ditch effort to do something before it dies and the cereals are starting to tiller. This rain isn't going to save a bumper crop, it might mean combining won't be done with a match though. This is completely different than last year.
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