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Big area of usa still in severe drought.

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    #11
    2012 Worst drought in history reduced
    soy prod by 4% wow!. Corn prod down 13%,
    big deal and wheat about 6%

    I take current rainfall deficiet causing
    massive yeild decline in usa with a
    grain of salt a yeild decline yes but
    massive nah

    the bloody us crops live and die 4 times
    and still produce the goods

    plenty of places in australia have had 3
    inches of rain during growing season and
    produced 30 to 40 bushls of wheat this
    year, wheat breeding has gone ahead i
    leaps and bounds in term of
    droughttolerance and heat stress

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      #12
      The US probably had soil moisture for the 2012 growing season and a small amount of rain grew a crop but according to the video and reports, in the states now they are severely soil moisture deficient.

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        #13
        in Colorado skiing resort report got 24 inch of snow. Not hear on news any winter blast yet in US yet but should be soon or in time of Christmas probably. And in Valemount or Revy got already 6 feet snow. Time go sledding next week.

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          #14
          I agree with mallee, that US winter wheat is tough to kill. I've seen a dozen "crop failures" in the fall in Kansas translate into good crops at harvest. Fall dryness doesn't correlate with final yields.
          Right now I'm hearing spring wheat new crop bids at $8.50. How much higher does this thing need to go before people are happy?
          Maybe locking down some production and covering the upside with options makes sense?

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            #15
            Bucket
            The US has never in history made or lost a winter wheat crop this time of year.
            Think about that for a second for you continue your rant.

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              #16
              ok

              And we never lost any yield due to wind last year either, or yellow asters or a heat wave.

              What exactly happened to that 21 million acre canola crop that was suppose to produce the mother of all canola crops?

              Just for perspective, the loss in the corn yields, resulted in a 10bb corn crop from an estimated 13 bbn crop in the spring.

              3,000,000,000 bushels lost / 39.37 = 76,200,152 metric tonnes lost.

              Effectively they lost the entire canadian crop.

              So if they substitute wheat for corn, they might need a few bushels to make up for the loss.

              Western Canada produces 25 mmt of wheat and durum for milling and feed uses. Wouldn't go that far to fill the gap in the states, would it?

              I am not on a rant, just presenting facts that as a farmer everyone should be aware of.

              That old saying of "rain makes grain", threw it out in 2010 and 2011. That much rain, which is effectively what the US will need in 2013 to produce an average crop, can really mess things up.

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                #17
                <!DOCTYPE html>
                <html>
                <body>

                <img src="https://admin.aghost.net/images/E0017001/PALMERZ19002012.jpg">

                </body>
                </html>

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                  #18
                  bucket, i am with you on this one.
                  the usa was this dry in 1992-3,(nice graph) and look what happened, prices trebled till rain came in 96.
                  the uk crop was destroyed by rain this yr, but the truth is only leaking out now, that we will need to import 3 million tons this yr, and more next yr.
                  there is more truth to come from the usa yet.

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                    #19
                    I believe '88 was the dry year, aleast it was in SESK.

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                      #20
                      Erratic swings of jet stream leaves southern U.S. baking in record December heat

                      wwhatt..

                      http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2012/12/03/erratic-swings-of-jet-stream-leaves-southern-u-s-baking-in-record-december-heat/

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