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Let's all up the acres on the Retarded sister!

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    Let's all up the acres on the Retarded sister!

    We'll got a email this morning from home! Special
    on fall delivery for canola $9.69 and 9.79 oct.
    Wow the market is sure working! Can lock in soy
    for 2 more hm dry summer 30 yield canola, vs 27
    soy at 12.
    So our freight shit show must be working out!
    Prices are rising and All is good in western
    canada!
    One more week in this supposed poor country
    then home. But maybe we really live in the third
    world and this is paradise!
    Keep believing the market works! They have
    some convinced price for delivery period, so you
    can get movement! It's more than the railways
    fault!

    #2
    If the shit show doesn't improve for fall switching
    500 acres to soy from canola! The market doesn't
    want us to grow it!

    Comment


      #3
      The market is saying that we need less production of canola and to take
      twelve dollar canola seed back to the supplier and tell them to shove it
      where the sun don't shine so you do have that part right. If you have a dry
      no rain in august summer like normal expect 17 bu of soy not 27.
      Summerfallow the most profitable choice of 2014.

      Comment


        #4
        Canola acres dropping in this part of the world.

        3 billion tonnes by 3030 here we come.

        Comment


          #5
          I November CBT soybean futures at $12/bu. What can a Manitoba/South Saskatchewan farmer farmer lock in for a October/November delivery price today? Can you do things like lock in a basis? Add whether farmers have had enough experience to access production risk and be comfortable in making a new crop delivery commitment in a contract?

          Comment


            #6
            You may have more production risk switching acres from canola to
            beans. I would really like to do beans, I have the equipment for
            them, but the varieties scare the shit out of me. Of course the
            seed companies will tell you they "may" make it to harvest but I
            don't know if that is a chance I'm willing to take right now.
            Trying a quarter or two (depending on farm size) may be no big deal,
            but I wouldn't bet the farm on them.

            When logistics improve and we get grain moving off the west coast, I
            suspect basis levels will improve and we will see better values for
            canola. We already saw prices rise from sub $9.00("specials" LOL)
            to bids reaching $10.00. Is there still room for improvement? You
            bet. When the canola is needed on the west coast the domestic
            crushers will realize they too will have to give up some of their
            exorbitant crush margin. I realize there is allot of crop to move
            but am hopeful pricing improvements will come.

            Cheers (hiccup *@#%#@*)

            Comment


              #7
              Delivery, now that's a joke.

              Comment


                #8
                How many zones, in Western Canada,
                actually have the growing requirements
                (high heat and high moisture) to produce
                a good crop of beans. Just like some
                areas couldn't grow chickpeas, many areas
                aren't suitable for todays varieties of
                soybeans either. In time better options
                will be available.

                Comment


                  #9
                  If I wanted to forward price new crop soybeans south eastern Saskatchewan or where ever, what price would I be offered today? Could I do a basis contract?

                  Comment


                    #10
                    AjL

                    Summerfallow locks in a loss of over a $100 for most farms

                    Better check your math again

                    Better off growing the crop and market it when the price returns to your profit margin

                    Comment


                      #11
                      IF, it turns out dry, storing grain will be extremely profitable! Ask me again in October.
                      Two great crops to move will kill 2015 also.
                      Roll the dice boys, do you feel lucky?
                      Was that 6 shots or 5?

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Still not ready to bet the farm but soy will
                        eventually replace some canola acres. 3 years no
                        failure! Do better in wet years than peas. Will
                        replace peas very soon in our area. Canola was
                        great but grain companies, seed companies etc.
                        ruined a good thing. Watch wheat will see the
                        same faith!

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Quit canola 3 years ago not going back. We have done better every year with soy. Much tougher plant than canola, oh did I mention better risk reward? Some growers have a problem with canola,the weed, control, but we did not get into full RR canola.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            agstar. Where are you faming?

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Manitoba somewhere. I guess you have not "bean there done that" haha

                              Comment

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