And the Experts Way in on Canola and Wheat Production! HA HA they have no clue!

[Oliver88]

Our neighbors all had fantastic crops so that cancels out the crops left in the fields.
Went to Regina yesterday on #6..some crop out by wynard..but very little else.
Even in our area..not much..
Just wondering which area has the most crop out?
Noticed very little v ditching all the way too..Land way dryer than out water logged mess.

I think if you drove to P.A. On highway 6 you will see more crop out.

From what I saw the first snow on October 4th was a lot deeper as you went north.
The areas south of Watson missed the November 16th snow (at least it wasn't a significant snow) which finished off a lot of guys north of there that were waiting for the ground to freeze.

[ajl]

Still canola including some of mine in this area (Edmonton east) out for the winter. What that will make is anyones guess. Have heard reports of heating already too. Took the same pail of damp canola to 2 different elevators and one test at 12.8 and the other 14.1% so don't know what we have in the bin. 12.8 more sale able than the >14%. Heard cargill in Camrose having trouble sourcing canola and I am sure there is some truth to it as everyone has tough canola for sale but getting dry stuff right now is a challenge. Statscan report will be ignored as it should as it is out of date before release and what is out there is anybody's guess.

[fjlip]

IGC Says all carry over is up over last year....TOO MUCH World SUPPLY, we don't matter...

This month's changes to total grains (wheat and coarse gains) supply and demand are mainly linked to maize (corn). The forecast for grains production in 2016/17 is 8m t higher m/m (month-on-month), at 2,084m, an increase of 4% y/y (year-on-year) and the largest on record. Stronger industrial demand in the US is mostly behind a 2m t upward revision for consumption, to 2,056m (+4% y/y).
Led by the major exporters, ending stocks are placed 5m t bigger m/m, at 504m (+6%).
Trade is seen reaching 338m t, a little up m/m, but still 2% short of last year. Conditions for recently sown 2017/18 winter wheat in the northern hemisphere are mostly favourable.
World wheat harvested area in 2017/18 is projected to be almost unchanged y/y, with reductions in the US and Kazakhstan balanced by increases in Russia and North Africa.
Incorporating upgrades for the US, Brazil and Canada, 2016/17 world soybean output is seen 4m t higher, at 336m, some 21m above the previous sea-son's outcome and an all-time peak. With total use seen unchanged from October, the rise in forecast global availabilities results in an increase of more than 4m t in carryovers, to nearly 38m, an expansion of 11% y/y. The outlook for trade is downgraded slightly, but is still expected to rise by 4m t y/y, to a record of 137m.

[Klause]

I think if you drove to P.A. On highway 6 you will see more crop out.

From what I saw the first snow on October 4th was a lot deeper as you went north.
The areas south of Watson missed the November 16th snow (at least it wasn't a significant snow) which finished off a lot of guys north of there that were waiting for the ground to freeze.

Head east of Quill on hwy 5 to Wadena, lots out there.


Freewheat's area is very bad also.


West of Humboldt, 10 miles, and south of 5 there's a block of 17 quarters owned by different guys that's still out.

North of Colonsay, there's 11 still out.


St. Brieux has quite a it out... over half in places...

One farmer I hauled last years wheat out for by Arborfield... has 200 out of his 3300 acres in the bin of this years crop.

[Guest]

Head east of Quill on hwy 5 to Wadena, lots out there.


Freewheat's area is very bad also.


West of Humboldt, 10 miles, and south of 5 there's a block of 17 quarters owned by different guys that's still out.

North of Colonsay, there's 11 still out.


St. Brieux has quite a it out... over half in places...

One farmer I hauled last years wheat out for by Arborfield... has 200 out of his 3300 acres in the bin of this years crop.

You should of stopped in !

[Partners]

One farm by quill lake had 4000 acres out last yr..
Fellow by Wadena had 2000 acres out last yr..
Some never get done regardless of the fall.

[SASKFARMER3]

Yes that is true.

[HappyFarmer]

Put some substance behind your number please old wise sf3..i take it you havnt sold any canola since harvest is over correct????

Your basically saying we will be out of canola by may then correct?

[SASKFARMER3]

I did do a contract about a week ago for dec for 50000 bushels priced just right. Yes it was almost two dollars higher than the lowest fall price. Some times you win some times you fail. But crop is moving and yes lots will be out by May. Yes I believe it's not as big of crop as they were bragging.

[newguy]

Lots of moisture low fertilizer price and a bit higher fall price on canola for next fall.Expect big acres of canola for next year.These big acres will hold back any big rallies this summer.