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$12 July canola...

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    $12 July canola...

    ...without basis deduction.

    We aren't too far off the highs reached in late Nov early Dec 2016.

    How far will it go? How much upside versus downside? What market factor will have the greatest affect on where prices go from here?
    S/D?
    Will China "show" the U.S. and switch oil seed commodities? They likely need more than we have!
    Crush margins are strong.
    Last edited by farmaholic; Jan 24, 2017, 07:53.

    #2
    about $28.40 from it's lowest trade Jan 12 to it's highest Jan 20.
    about $17.70 from it's low close to high close those same days.

    ...not that it matters.

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      #3
      Once I haul my last load in it should climb to 15.

      Comment


        #4
        There must be big problems in SA with bean crop. Was reading yesterday a lot of acres have been flooded, and it's getting late to reseed.
        Be nice to lock in some $11 new crop, but still some climbing to do. Canola acres will go through the roof regardless of costs.

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          #5
          11.73 for July delivery here now so 12 is a good possibility

          March and May contracts might not take out the late fall highs but July might

          Exports to China for first 4 months were lower than last two years

          Click image for larger version

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          Last edited by farming101; Jan 24, 2017, 08:53.

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            #6
            Once China slows down imports of beans from the US will put downward pressure on prices.
            SA will soon be shipping into China. Anything over $11 is a good price for canola. Don't let greed take over!!

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              #7
              $12.29 May delivery at Altona. Positive 13 basis

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                #8
                Originally posted by Oilking View Post
                $12.29 May delivery at Altona. Positive 13 basis
                To live beside a crushing plant!!
                I can't get a -13 basis. LOL
                Line companies screwing us ......... AGAIN!!!!!!

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                  #9
                  Yep line companies screw every day!

                  But yes also if USA and china lock horns canola tanks just as bad as soy

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                    #10
                    Bigzee.....its not greed, its maximizing profits! Everyone else seems to do it, seed cos, grain cos, machinery cos, fert cos, railroads, chem cos......too many times, because of quality issues or quantity short falls, profitability based on prices at the time, has been fleeting on some crops. So when there's a chance to hit a home run or grandslam because of a good crop and good prices, I don't appreciate Industry telling us we're still profitable at a lower price point for my commodities or the other side of the Industry digging deeper into my pocket because they think we can afford it!

                    Ya I know, I suppose there's a point where..... but let's enjoy the opportunities when they present themselves.

                    ....and then there was durum!

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