I like how it filled in the gap today. go baby go.
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Originally posted by farming101 View PostWe are shipping wheat to the feedlot.
July 2016 over 7 inches of rain, average daily humidity rarely under 70%.
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Don't forget to sign New crop contracts.....give them what they want, you carry the risk.....production, price, quality, storage....! How can they forward sell something they don't know what the quality or cost of is yet? Enter Producer! So you sell them some new crop based on specific quality parameters....and you get dealt with after the "facts" are known and have basically no recourse but to accept the "premiums and discounts" presented to you, oh ya, and then what are your options?
Weber's newsletter had NDVI maps in it that don't look good for Western Canada and the northern tier wheat states. This rally could be the small build up to the main attraction of fireworks yet to come. Lots of good and bad can and will happen but how it all plays out in the end will be interesting.
I may have missed an opportunity but I think most of you know my sentiments.
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Guess the thing to keep in back of your mind eu and black sea russia still have a big crop despite downgradings. Aust in a bit of trouble but not trainwreck yet. How much more bad news can be factored in to feed the bulls
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When analyzing the wheat market analysts tend to view it in isolation. However foodstuffs are said to be elastic item meaning substitutions by the consumer are often made due to price. The broad index of real world food stuffs has soared 14% in two months. Tensions are ramping up btw Russia and the USA in Syria, the middle class is dying, gluten free craze is fading. All bullish macro factors imho.
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If anyone thinks that wheat prices have moved up too much,,,,take 15 seconds and look at a monthly chart for HRSW on the MGE.
[URL="http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/MW/M?anticache=1498228775"]http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/MW/M?anticache=1498228775[/URL]
We may have a long way to go yet charlie !
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was eading somewere this week a strategy could be trade the spread sell minny wheat and buy Chicago and gap will narrow.
well that would have failed spectacularly this week......guess its all in the timing.
on aussie situation its perilous in many areas but weather forecasters models and private weather forecasters all suggesting things are about to change for the better big time seemingly Australia wide
ps in our spot we are doing fine
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