Ok so who is starting to worry about their canola crop?

[SASKFARMER3]

At a few events the last couple of weeks and every one i talk to has issues of some kind with the Canola crop. Not one said they had a 10 out of 10. Even the big hitters are wondering WTF did they do wrong or WTF happened.

Canola is a tough crop to get to the bin and this year with the dry start followed by ugly wind every day and heat blast and mud is having a rough start.

South of the valley lots are wondering if it can get a rain it could do a average but really were heading to july and our wet month is leaving the building. Todays storm is just that piss ass showers thats all.

For us any thing that germinated is on its way to suck all the moisture out of the ground and go down. But the little suckers who just germinated are in for a rough ride.

So honestly who is starting to worry about the crop.

Stats Canada will try to screw up the Market Thursday with a bIllion Acres, ok not that big but bad enough. This useless report is done in what March and published now to help the grain companies bleed the last canola out of the farmers bins before the reality sits in.

Sort of like the frost year denial denial denial then finally holy shit we were wrong. its awful.

I would rate ours a 6 out of 10 but the little seeds just coming up are probably going to cause issues come harvest. Green seeds heat and are a grade problem. Strait cut should of been seeded wall to wall. Oh well at least a couple thousand good.

[seldomseen]

Mine is looking good at the moment and emerged almost perfect. The problem is the time of year with the days getting shorter. Its going to need some real nice weather this summer and a long open fall. One big rain and mine will go backwards fast so I am a little worried.

[newguy]

acres up but production at the end of the day will be down from last year.more wrecks than good crops for sure.

[Partners]

Ours look OK.
But lots of drowned out spots ..so if calculated by seeded acre it will not be a average crop for our farm.
But like stated..stats can will give us another bumper crop anyway.

[SASKFARMER3]

I agree on the acre thing partners. Im spraying 155 to 160 quarters but i sure didn't seed them the last few years. Flats are drying up but if you average a 145 acre seeded x 60 then divide by the 160 you sprayed etc its a 54 yield. Still good but 60 won't happen now probably 40 x 145 divided by the 160 is a 36 average.

But stats canada will push awesome health crop end to end and around the world. Its all bull shit.

[farmaholic]

60 bu/ac.... Bwahahahahaha. In the Slum of the Ghetto thats a once in a lifetime anomaly!

[fjlip]

60 bu/ac.... Bwahahahahaha. In the Slum of the Ghetto thats a once in a lifetime anomaly!

60 on a few acres where chicken shit went...over all seeded acres NEVER had over 45...always missing spots and crappy salty land. Most others boast about more, we must be POOR farmers

I would say the late germinating will not branch out, earlier ones somewhat choke them out, maturity will be close enough.

Oh ya, just remembered, in 1975, we had 40 of conventional Midas variety, yield much the same now but thank goodness no f*cking Treflan/SMF!
And could have been $6 or so, equal to $48/bu now!

[farmaholic]

Last year we were real close to 60 bpa over the seeded acres. Never grossed so much ever before....and did a good job marketing. If those yields are consistent in the "Garden of Eden"(where ever that is)...no wonder land prices are so expensive there. Here in the slum we're always hoping to get enough money back from the current crop to try again the next year! .....here most quit broke...financially, emotionally and spiritually! ;-)

[fjlip]

Last year we were real close to 60 bpa over the seeded acres. Never grossed so much ever before....and did a good job marketing. If those yields are consistent in the "Garden of Eden"(where ever that is)...no wonder land prices are so expensive there. Here in the slum we're always hoping to get enough money back from the current crop to try again the next year! .....here most quit broke...financially, emotionally and spiritually! ;-)

Wife's cousin QUIT after 2013 massive crop...rented for 20% share, travelling the world, happier than you who in SH*T! Quit on high note not when ruined is the key, if you can. Land/rent is still selling great lots of young guns raring to risk...

[farming101]

If total production comes in even with last year and taking into account an increase in acres, your 36bpa might be very close.
I think right now that actually may be as good as it gets.

[bgmb]

Wife's cousin QUIT after 2013 massive crop...rented for 20% share, travelling the world, happier than you who in SH*T! Quit on high note not when ruined is the key, if you can. Land/rent is still selling great lots of young guns raring to risk...

wow really 20 percent is way to rich. so if you get 50 bu wheat at 6 bucks landlord still gets 60/ac. would never do that deal. Would do 20 percent of everything over $100/ac maybe

[fjlip]

wow really 20 percent is way to rich. so if you get 50 bu wheat at 6 bucks landlord still gets 60/ac. would never do that deal. Would do 20 percent of everything over $100/ac maybe

Well it's very common around here, some renting 2000 acres like that, or 60-70 CASH before seeding. Landlord got over 100 one year.

[bgmb]

Well it's very common around here, some renting 2000 acres like that, or 60-70 CASH before seeding. Landlord got over 100 one year.

good luck sustaining a 20 percent deal. 60 upfront would be a steal compared to 20 percent.

[hobbyfrmr]

[QUOTE=bgmb;349023]good luck sustaining a 20 percent deal. 60 upfront would be a steal compared to 20 percent.[/QUOTE

Cash rent varies from $60.00/acre to $149.00/acre. Expect to see lentils on lentil stubble and canola on canola stubble when you rent out. Very good farmers, very good crops. A couple years ago spring frost forced reseeding canola first week in June. Huge yields60-70 bpa. The time to worry is when the combines roll and you see what you get. One farmer left 25% frosted acres to live and reseeded the rest. The difference was 35 bushels/acre in favour of reseed.

[seabass]

Shit man I've listen to you whine for the last 10 years I've been on here and you contradict yourself eventually in every post. Crop sucks, too wet, too windy, cwb blows, NDP are donkeys, Justins a tard, yada yada yada. Then the next breath your talking about 60 bu canola, locked in 7 dollar wheat, selling the rest for 8. Always stir the pot and then off to Hawaii. Its just a crop!