The drought is getting real

[sumdumguy]

These weather forecasts are so hit and miss. I will be surprised if it is accurate for the heat.

[furrowtickler]

Tweety you bring up a very good point .

[tweety]

Tweety you bring up a very good point .

A point farmers have not considered. Any truth to the 'organic farmers don't have fusarium' rumour?

[farmaholic]

I am NOT spraying for nothing! The financial and environmental costs...

I realize not everyone is a little too dry at this point and may need to spray, but based on my assessment here.... I can't see it happening. Spraying fungicides in a dry year won't increase yield beaten down by dry conditions....Not logically to me anyway.

Quote from a ChemCo ad:

"Whether it’s the heavy rain and high moisture of 2016, or the dry weather seen in years past, you can count on "_______" for a significant yield and quality increase for your cereal crops. Think of it as a tool in any weather to help you when it matters most: at harvest."

Really? Change your marketing to fit the times! How about dropping the ****ing price during these times if you want to see it move.... even then that is hardly a reason to apply it if it doesn't fit into the "best management practice" or "integrated pest management control plan" or a "sound agronomic decision". My goodness guys.....come on!

[furrowtickler]

Some farmers , more know than you give credit for .
And I have no idea about organic / fusarium thing
Other than most likely not as bad with out round up usage , JMO though

[grefer]

Grefer where abouts you at ?

Around here there is a band from Turtleford SE through Glaslyn and past Whitkow that's had near perfect June rain
North of that line and becomes very wet to a near disaster at Meadow Lake area
South of that line from Jackfish lake SE is spotty to very dry in areas NE and east of NB . Also SE through to Stoon is very dry in areas but they have had recent rains .
All west is in good shape until you get to the other too wet area west of Paynton / Maidstone . But crops are very late .
I know for a fact if we had lighter land our crop would be toast already .
My guess is less than 10 days for this pocket . Dry stress already showing up on ridges and fields with lighter soils.
One week of hot weather is needed for crop development north and west of here , but locally it's going to cut yields a lot .
Sure has been bizarre to watch the radar the past 4 weeks . It's like there is a wall from Hamlin to the radio towers just north of town preventing rains .
The river valley has a huge influence just west of there though.
Once that pattern sets up in early June this area struggles dramatically.
Seen it many times before . I am sure many other guys on here have seen similar situations over the years .
Will save a fortune on fungicides though lol

About 3 miles from the X for the Radisson dopler station. I had a neighbor suggest we should tear it down because the clouds seem to part or disappear as they get close. Its wierd and frustrating at times like this.

[furrowtickler]

Lol. We have thought about the same thing with those 4 CJNB radio towers just west of me
Let's hope something changes , very very soon for some of us

[furrowtickler]

Sorry tweety , but you come across as continually knowing more than 99.% of the rest of us . You need to pull your head out of your ass .... Happy Canada Day BYW.
70% of the farmers I deal with have been to Ag school as well there guy , quit demeaning the rest of us !!
We all know fungicides hurt 80% more than they help . They only help retails ....

[mcfarms]

It's going to be hell on the pastures and crops for the forecasted future with no break in the two week period if it maintains.
Worst possible timing on the flowering crops.

[sofa.king]

The drought is here best thing to do is stop spending money on the crop. Go to the lake and drink beer with friends and neighbors for a couple weeks and don't look at the crops they will still be there when you get home. Like sf3 says it's just a crop. You win some you lose some.

[fjlip]

Agree, sofa, gone away for 2 weeks, all will look better after a break away from farm.
Every time we left last year...rain, rain, rain!
Watched pot never boils, a watched cloud/radar never rains!
Canola north of Roblin looks great, about 75% of seeded area.

[helmsdale]

Env. Canada just issued a heat warning that encompasses our corner of the world...

"A very long period with maximum daily temperatures reaching near 29C or above and minimum overnight temperatures reaching near 14C or above is expected to begin today. This is forecasted to be an unusually long duration high temperature event and is currently expected to last for longer than a week."

Canola just coming into bloom, durum and spring wheat just heading, flax lentils and peas all flowering. Should be a burner! A bushel burner that is...

Long range models look terrible. High 80s till mid week, then mid to high 90s late in the week and possibly 100+ through the weekend, then back to mid 90s through till the beginning of 2nd week of july. As far as i'm concerned, if you're on the drier side, you can weather mid 80s for quite a while, if you're on the wet side, you can weather mid 90's for possibly a week, and no matter what the moisture situation, 100-110 for any sustained period of time is impossible.