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The drought is getting real

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    #37
    Two things have changed on our farm since dry years of 1961 and eighties.
    Out of cattle and into direct seeding.
    Probably worst concerns were feed and pasture shortage and losing moisture when snow blew off stubble fields.
    Not looking forward to heat and drought but interested in outcome, not as if we have not been there.

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      #38
      Going to be a lotta sour faces and bored grain cart operators come harvest time in our area. I don't think reality completely sets in until the combines roll and the hoppers never seem to fill.
      Last edited by biglentil; Jul 2, 2017, 15:26.

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        #39
        I think we will hang in there not too bad for the week ahead but next Saturday will be the turning point with no change in the forecast. Warm nights and hot days with no easy moisture left will ruin prospects quickly. Below to much below average for all crops except canola is looking likely.
        I haven't seen 100% agreement among forecasts for quite a while but this 10 day to 2 week dry hot spell forecast seems to be unanimous.

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          #40
          Originally posted by farming101 View Post
          I think we will hang in there not too bad for the week ahead but next Saturday will be the turning point with no change in the forecast. Warm nights and hot days with no easy moisture left will ruin prospects quickly. Below to much below average for all crops except canola is looking likely.
          I haven't seen 100% agreement among forecasts for quite a while but this 10 day to 2 week dry hot spell forecast seems to be unanimous.
          I haven't found any good ways to check the Euro model, but yes, the unanimity amongst the north american models is unnerving.

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            #41
            Predicting rain is like predicting the lottery winner....where will it be and how much will you have to possibly share with other players.

            That high pressure ridge thats building will likely only have one result!

            Lets hope something evolves to break it down before too long. Or it spawns some thundershowers... but where is the moisture going to come from....you can't "irrigate" from a dry reservoir!!!!

            Hang in there ladies and gentlemen this probably wont be pretty. Special shout out to the cattle producers in the dry areas!

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              #42
              Today was a taste of what's to come yikes. Need a bigger cooler 6 beer won't make 9 holes in this heat.

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                #43
                And then he was gone! You gonna pay the carbon tax wiseguy?

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                  #44
                  Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                  We all know fungicides hurt 80% more than they help . They only help retails ....
                  So which is it? Smart farmers spraying fungicides knowing it hurts almost twice as much as it helps, or they're not that smart considering most acres are sprayed with fungicide 'just in case' because they don't know the downside?

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                    #45
                    Lotto winner happening right now five miles north of our yard Lucky buggers.

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                      #46
                      Smart farmers are using crop nutrition to prevent disease , not fungicides for the reason you just pointed out

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                        #47
                        Crop nutrition creates disease which has been demonstrated repeatedly by the organic industry. Fungicides are not required without added nutrients. Fungicides attempt to fix the problems with a high yielding, lush crop.

                        However the continual use creates even more problems by eliminating beneficial fungus so only the strong nasty survive, like fusarium. Taking out all its competition allows it to survive and thrive.

                        Its a vicious frickin circle and we all do it. Smart or not.

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                          #48
                          I would say your correct, but it's an overuse of N and not enough attention to the micros. A lot of these herbicides and pre burn chemistry are tying up essential micro's combined with higher loads of N that's creating this disease mess .
                          And I agree with you 100% on the fungicide thing.

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