The horseshoe.....

[furrowtickler]

If you look at radar now at Radison, the horseshoe is set up as it has since early May

[sk_wheatking]

If you look at radar now at Radison, the horseshoe is set up as it has since early May

I thought horseshoes brought good luck.......

[furrowtickler]

Lol , depends if your inside or outside the horseshoe........
The area blank of rain has basically been that way since May .

[furrowtickler]

If you play the past three hr it basically shows the dry area the past three months

[seabass]

Can anyone with weather knowledge explain why this happens. What causes this to occur. Conditionson the ground? Air currents? We've had this happen. Wraps around and starts raining east of us.

[sk_wheatking]

Can anyone with weather knowledge explain why this happens. What causes this to occur. Conditionson the ground? Air currents? We've had this happen. Wraps around and starts raining east of us.

Explanation = bad ****ing luck

[saskcanfarmer]

If you look at radar now at Radison, the horseshoe is set up as it has since early May

That's crazy. I was driving around your area the other day. Everything looks decent. Is it a case of looks fine from the road but not when you're walking in it??

[fjlip]

Can anyone with weather knowledge explain why this happens. What causes this to occur. Conditionson the ground? Air currents? We've had this happen. Wraps around and starts raining east of us.

And the times we DROWNED it sat on us for days, something invisible like a COLD F*CKING blob over Hudson's Bay ruins our day/days/year!

Agree bad luck where you happen to be on earth...same goes IF IF Global Warming drowns you...bad luck. Move!

[furrowtickler]

A close look and a little longer drive and you can see it very easily

[sumdumguy]

Environment Canada is down? I can't seem to log in.

[furrowtickler]

After the drought from 2000 to 2002 into 3 ish I started to look at weather patterns a little closer.
We noticed this pattern 15 years ago happens here 75% of the time. Not as exaggerated as this year but still much the same set up . If it starts to split in the beginning of June it sticks till late summer. We seem to just get barely enough rain to get a crop on average That's when we started to change our thinking on fertility. Using the percent odds we just could not make sense of 100% seed placed fertility. So we started cutting back at seeding to 70% and top dressed according to how strong the blocking pattern set up. This year we barely top dressed at at , also never used fungicides at all . No need if the ground was never wet through June / July.

[seabass]

Furrow how is that canola u seeded with that planter at the low rate doing?

[danny W1M]

I believe in summer weather patterns. Here in SESK we pretty much always know by Victoria Day.
Meaningful moisture always comes form the States for us. It'll take one of three paths for the most part.
1) "our" Montana Lows turn north and head toward Assiniboia/Moose Jaw/Regina, and so on.
2) Come up through Weyburn/Estevan /Moose Mtn. giving us good rains.
3) Follow along south of the U.S. border, eventually making their way into MB.
2010-2016 they took path #2, double and triple the rain we needed, this year it seems they're taking path #3. Crops are good here due to the tremendous amount of reserve and 4-5" of timely rain. Nice, not having to fight the mud with every operation. Will hope the pattern will breakdown after harvest, as we'll need some fall rains before freeze up.

[furrowtickler]

Seabass..... it's looking ok , less plants per m2 has been a good thing this year.
Overall plants are bigger and overall bigger leaves and pods .
The weigh wagon will tell the tale at harvest.
The crop filled in very well and never considered fungicide while others were spraying.
Saskcanfarmer was out and had a look . We had far less moisture than his area but the crop hung in there very well .
Even the seed rate trial down to 1 lb / ac looks ok .
Overall very happy so far 👍. Considering the lack of rain for 5 1/2 weeks during peak vegetative stage .

[furrowtickler]

Watching radar again this morning, it is amazing how when these set up happen rain can actually push away from certain dry areas .

Seabass, I have often tried to figure out the phenomenon, but basically here the only thing that kinda makes sense is the combination of the river and we are in the widest part of the valley between the range of hills north of us and the eagle hills to the south.
Regardless, I agree it would be interesting to figure out why this happens.
We have learned to just live with it and farm accordingly.
Big rent and land prices make zero sense in this trough , sooner or later they will get burnt .... literally.