I totally agree with you bucket those number definitely need to be looked at harder.
But when the USDA releases a report that's bearish the market will either believe or not believe it then react accordingly. Sometimes the other way.
In my opinion the recent losses in Minnie wheat are due to harvest pressure more so than the last report. Which based on some of the comments some people don't believe that's a thing. Don't forget these are futures markets it's based on what the price will be in the future. Hence after harvest when there is a more wheat in the market price tends to go down. Even if the crop is 50% smaller that crop is now 100% open to the market and can enter the supply chain at any given moment. Thus the decrease in prices.
But when the USDA releases a report that's bearish the market will either believe or not believe it then react accordingly. Sometimes the other way.
In my opinion the recent losses in Minnie wheat are due to harvest pressure more so than the last report. Which based on some of the comments some people don't believe that's a thing. Don't forget these are futures markets it's based on what the price will be in the future. Hence after harvest when there is a more wheat in the market price tends to go down. Even if the crop is 50% smaller that crop is now 100% open to the market and can enter the supply chain at any given moment. Thus the decrease in prices.
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