Canola yields...

[bigzee]

She's a bin buster boys!! It must be after yesterday's and this this morning trading. Right it's the harvest pressure.
Hurry and sell before demand dries up just like the crop did.
Traders and grain companies have this crop as a big one. That's all you hear on the radio is how surprised and happy we are of the yields.
What a joke!!! Oh well someone will be making money this yr, sure won't be the farmers.

[bucket]

Durum prices asking more at export and still going down on prairies....377 is over 10 bucks a bushel and 7.50 here....

Who said we got rid of the CWB and their wide price differentials from prairie to port....

Rail cost is regulated. ....where's the rest of the open market money....

Same question I asked of CWB officials years ago...

I guess when some are blinded by idealogy they can't understand facts....

Getting your money upfront and selling all you can doesn't mean they should take and extra buck a bushel....nor should you cheer the non lube ass ****ing.....

Anyone want to talk about plugged elevators and and only 600000 tonne per week rail movement. ?

[Partners]

Are farmers actually selling at these prices? Just a scare tactic to tell us prices will be the shits.
Only contracts being delivered that were priced at the peak.
RP not buying anything spot..

[farmaholic]

Larry Weber quote:

"Some somber thoughts - moving SK canola average yield from 33.5 bpa to 36.5 bpa results in total canola production going from 19.2 to 20.1 MMT. Moving Alberta and SK canola yields to last years levels would leave a canola crop in Canada of 22.6 MMT. Still second guessing booking some canola? Yield results have been outright unreal."

I didn't think they were that good here. I will help bring the average down and the area affected I think is quite large.

I still think the trade has built in a bit of price increase for the short crop....but I think there is only one way for it to go after harvest happy hour is over.

[4GFarms]

Sf3 is right. Its about 70% of our usual yields. Not sure what is going on with prices but boy are they going in the shitter. Tighten the belt another knoch! Dont come looking for me to buy inputs anytime soon with these poor prices. Getting ridiculous!!! I am with you farma, I think prices have to rise eventually but not sure how long a guy can hold out.

[vvalk]

Statscan has Manitoba pegged for 38.9 bpa(39 last year) on 3.15 million acres(200,000 acres more than last year) for total production of 2.7783 MMT. Maybe there will be a little less SK canola flowing to Altona to keep the place going

Monster crops in Manitoba. 2.8MT less then 15% of the total crop and it's going to make up all the drought areas as well as all the heat and wind?

[farming101]

Word on the street--Get your fertilizer now. Hurricanes are going to cut off supply. Oh boy

Actually I know it's a long shot but with the huge drop in soil moisture reserves we will need good fall rains to give us a chance for any kind of a crop next year.
Ya it's a long shot. Doesn't matter right now.

[furrowtickler]

Yes there are some big yield in the strip that got rain here in the NW
But look at a map of western Canada and it represents a jiffy marker line from south of Unity through Paynton to Edam ( Larry's home town 😁) through St Walburg .
It's all about the big picture .
There is a far bigger area with lower yields than there is with big yields when you step back and look at it that way .

[bucket]

Funny the price of gas shot up due to hurricanes and while the refineries are coming back on stream ....American gas prices are coming back down meanwhile federated continue to take their pound of flesh....

[Kinger]

Southern Saskatchewan was the worst hit by the drought that's pretty set in stone, but how much canola is grown there compared to the rest of the Province?

Historically it is the driest area so would it not be bigger lentil and durum country than canola?

Yields from MB are breaking farmer records and the ones from Sask i'm hearing aren't great but are decent given the year. Guys were expecting 5-10 but pulling off 20-25. Still not great but better than expected.

Those are yields from the south part of Sk not sure how it is doing to the north.

Or I could be totally wrong. 50/50 either way.

[bucket]

Farming101

Get your fertilizer now ....yup ....but 3 dollar corn doesn't buy much fertilizer in the states....

[SASKFARMER3]

To the Manitoba guy. Yes not much canola was grown years ago in the south and west side but since the rains started the big hitting area for yield was that area. Hell I have friends that said what's wrong with you you can't get 60 canola every year up north. Mean while we were sitting in swamp infested fields and hill tops produced 60 and low areas cattails. So yea Manitoba has good crops and south has 25 it's not 60 that's 35 bus difference and I know Manitoba isn't growing 105 bus canola that s not happening.