Canola yields...

[sumdumguy]

This is south of roleau in July.


This did not run 47... I drove that area a lot ..
90% looked like this. [ATTACH]2100[/ATTACH]


It's like the guy doing 89 but peas here this year when everybody else's are running 40 to 55...

I call BS too. We have been in that area many times this summer and fall and I never saw one field that would yield even 20. On an inch and a quarter, yeh right! Also am in communication with industry in that area, info they have half of those numbers.

[SASKFARMER3]

Tell bill he is full of shit! Just saying

[LEP]

Sf3 ha Bill would rather look at the ass end of a horse than run a tractor.

Here is wc sask. Another slum of the ghetto. We won't average 24.

There is the odd exception depending on showers. But there is one worse for every good one.

I was hoping for 30 before harvest.

So we will be into crop insurance for barley, canola, and probably durum.

[Quadtrack]

If the canola at Rolo and speedy is in those ranges it must be 100 at Lake Lenore. Must be grain bags in every field. Or a row of new bins no longer at Co-op Agro but on the farms.
Takes quite a swath of canola to make 40. Those pics are 10.
But whatever start watching for crusher 'specials' in Nov.

[Herc]

I agree. Lake lenore and naicam had beautiful crops. Only area to rival our stand along the jiffy line furrow pointed out earlier. Yields here are very good. Very fortunate but makes me wonder what we did wrong on 12" of rain as we are still below the area average even where it didnt rain.

I don't know why but once the combines start rolling everyone pulls out the tape measures too.

[furrowtickler]

Crap ..... markets down already , thanks Larry .... lol just kidding

[LWeber]

Send me those coordinates Klause when you have time and I can pinpoint the quarter section on my NDVI map.

The map I attached is public.



STATSCAN will use the CCAP data to estimate the next September production.
The map attached is first week in Sept 2017 to Sept 2016. Pasture land is excluded.

You can zero down to Census Division - then if you have access to the database - you can zero into a quarter section with the coordinates.

Grain companies today have better information than they ever had; farmers pay them to be crop scouts and they in turn, feed that info back to their head office. Good gig. Beats a weekly report from primary elevators. Between that and the yield monitors in combines that communicate back to equipment manufacturers every night, soon the world will know how many non water dumps you've had while in the field, that were not environmentally friendly.

You can all argue yields, who is full of bullshit and who got laid last - but in the end; you're giving the most valuable piece of farming that you don't own - information.

The trade is using 20 MMT plus for canola. STATSCAN was at 18.6 on the first cut and have been low on the August estimate an average of 1.936 MMT to the final, over the past 11 years. That alone puts canola at 20.5 MMT. So you can keep on thinking 17 MMT if you like and the market will do what it wants.

As I said in a previous post, SK canola average would have to be 25.9 to get to 16.987 MMT...here are the last 15 years of SK canola yield data in bushels per acre. In 2012 - half the canola blew away.

2002 18.6
2003 20.9
2004 22.7
2005 31.6
2006 27.6
2007 24.5
2008 32.4
2009 35.2
2010 30.9
2011 32.9
2012 25.1
2013 38.2
2014 33.0
2015 37.9
2016 42.4r
2017 32.3

[ajl]

Unloaded first hopper on a new to us combine. Yield monitor=352 bu. Operators manual grain tank capacity=315 bu. Some calibration required. Canola bushel weight when grown under dry condition can be quite light. It goes without saying that it was an ex colony combine. No radio.

[Rareearth]

Crop insurance will have all the yields, etc on October 31 with farmer production declarations.

Or

Buy all the info from Johndeere they get all the green yields live.

[SASKFARMER3]

It's a Rouleau bushel. Sort of like a NDP bushel fills the cup with bullshit but nothing of substance or weight.

[Klause]

I'll plan them to ya Lweber.


You're right guys don't realize info they give away... Not just yield but input use... Chem use and application dates.


I've intercepted data streams before and have examples of them here... It's quite interesting.


Also why I take the Sim card and nearfield chips out of the agleader and raven unis other than the sprayer (custom app.. need the data quicker to sync)


I wonder that map shows above average for this year end of July... Worth thousands of acres of dark green beans and excessive N usage that turns fields black how accurate do you think that is? I use ndvi mapping for variable rate fert... Interesting tech if the guy analysing it knows what he's looking at.

[newguy]

On some land that got hailed and I ended up spraying right after was 5 bushels better than the other.hoped for 40 expected 10 got 20.

[golden1]

To L weber and all the merchants sitting behind a desk.. It is time you get your ass out of the chair and get out and put boots on the ground.Like klause has said this canola crop is as he says in south sask,And you are not stupid enough to to believe what a gps on a combine or sat imagining says in the real world.Weeds grow green, esp around sloughs, that is 50 bu right...Like last year.. what were your sell signals?I can gaurantee you that i got $ 12/ canola 0n 90% of my crop without your bs subsciptions.and poor advice..Davidson and MJ were bending over backwards picking up GPOs at 12 to fill trains... does that sound like a huge crop last year??This year is no different.. If you dont believe the $12.. pm me and i will gladly prove it... But like you i dont give my info away free....

[quadtrac]

I get a chuckle out of people that actually go by yield monitors.
Like seriously now?? Anyone that runs multiple combines that pays any attention at all knows you can calibrate them everyday and they're all different and change throughout the day.

Unless that's only a John Deere problem?

[quadtrac]

Canola is very light also this year in our area.
400 bushel hoppers are doing good to get 310 bushels by weight.