Canola yields...

[furrowtickler]

Tiny little pod don't show up on nvdi maps either .... just sayin.
It's been an extremely hot and dry summer ..... canola is a cool season flowering plant . It will surprise a few in a few areas with very good yields , but ..... it is what it is ... they have not bred drought tolerance yet .

[Rolo]

Hows this for bigger Jiffy Marker:

South of Rouleau, SK

Sent: September 8, 2017 6:40 AM
To: SUBSCRIPTIONS

I guess I should have booked in some canola when we combined ours... we are done harvest now

Green lentils. Lg and small. 33 bushels
Wheat 73
Canola 47

1.25 inches of rain

___________________________________________

Another 4 canola yield emails from this morning

Biggar: 47 and 51 bpa
Eston: 42
Swift Current: 34 bpa average - done combining

You need an average SK yield of under 26 bpa to get to 16.9 MMT

Looks like someone has fallen for another bullshit Aulie story.

[Guest]

Canola cant take 2 months of 30 degrees. Its just that simple. People in the industry should know that as well as farmers do

[Guest]

Sad thing is at tge end of the day , we will never know hiw bad this crop was

[vvalk]

Sad thing is at tge end of the day , we will never know hiw bad this crop was

That's right the trade will use the numbers and estimates going around as we can see by larrys comments. Going to have to be patient to wait it out probably till late spring just like durum kostal is out with 5.5 mT durum crop if you can believe that

[sumdumguy]

Guess there are people who did fall off of yesterday's cabbage leaf, just not the ones who witnessed it.

[quadtrac]

They aren't getting a bushel of grain off our farm at current prices.
Same as last year on the wheat. Ain't starting the auger for under $7.50 and canola $11.50
Now if only all farmers would join together and do the same.... I know wishful thinking.

[Guest]

I've known him for 20 years - met him and his son numerous times - salt of the earth people.
I trust him enough that he is on my acreage surveys - I'll take 20 years of that history over that picture from wherever.

Well what do we need rain for then ??

[Guest]

Hard to believe that they think we're that ****ing stupid

[quadtrac]

Hard to believe that they think we're that ****ing stupid

They don't actually think that but it works well to manipulate the market. And pick off lots of cheap grain.
Really gets old after many years of this.

[vvalk]

Well what do we need rain for then ??

I'm sure on that particular field it's the truth just like in my story earlier in this thread. Doesn't mean it's the average over all their acres

[sumdumguy]

looks like more market analysts need to walk more fields . lots of canola going under 30 here with 5.5" rain . here's a tip for the analysts , CANOLA DOESNT LIKE TO FLOWER , FINISH UP, (GET CUT OR SPRAYED) in 30+ degree heat ???. this is the northeast . everywhere has had 60-80 days of heat , no one in their right mind should think their is a big crop out there ! but if I was a buyer , I would be pretty scared of where my supply was going to come from next year

Especially if I have a short position.

[sumdumguy]

Do you know how many grain bags I've seen driving anywhere south of No 1 highway all the way to Helena Montana three times this fall ? - zilch - nada one ---- last year there were hundreds-full of all crops. Go into the American elevators sampling room, last year there were piles of sample bags along the walls - this year you can count them on your hands and toes.

Anyone see any grain bags filled yet in the field? Just saying!

[Guest]

sumdum that's a real good indicator , one of the best . I have saw 2 here so far . people are even binning their oats! not many here last year from the flood , but most years there are hundreds