Well another week is gone and harvest kind of moved very slowly due to mist and then finally our first rain since the2nd of August.
We ended up with 1/2 inch on all the farm and one area did have up to 3/4 but it was only a couple sections. So for 2018 crop its a start on the road to the magic 4 inches in fall to replenish the soil. But very thankful to have got any since across the valley one area had barely 2/10 and they were harvesting yesterday afternoon.
We hit the magic 2/3 done and its on to the final 1/3. Some times this last part can take just as long as the first part. Hopefully we get a little out of Friday and mondays system and then it turns dry like they are talking for rest of the month.
On politics it is just amazing how two trust fund misfits can screw up Canada so bad and then blame the working mom and pop business and family farms are the problem. But what really blows my mind is how die hard liberals and unions think the tax changes are awesome. This country is going down a path of destruction and it will end with Canada becoming Greece or Brazil, But the Selfie king will get his United Nations Job like he wants. Useless idiots and idiots who voted for change well your getting it be proud of your choice, I called him our worst PM in history and i think I'm going to be right on that.
Ok here we go the Crop report.
HRS is all but completed in our area. Funny most experts seem to think farms didn't haul that much in off the combine and concentrated on Canola. Our Terminal has turned twice on HRS since August HRS not Canola. So look a little deeper. Yield was just above our five year average.
Durum is off in area nice quality yield similar to little less than HRS but its quality.
Oats early is off and real early is light later is better and very late seeded is also lighter. Yield similar middle seeded is higher.
Flax most is still out and very few have harvested any.
Barley is all off and early and middle made malt. Best specs ever for our farm and yield on mid may seeded is real nice. Now the price of 4 vs 3.50 for feed pisses people off. Malt and barley are shooting them selves in the foot. Acres will be way down in 2018, just because the buyer don't get it.
Peas are off and most sold on contracts. Pea acres next year might be down as missing the one july rain did hurt yield.
Canola the bin breaker that has mountains of Canola all over the west stuffed into every single old shed granary or bag. HA HAH HAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH ITs a joke whats going on and even a bigger joke on farmers are selling off the combine. Yea contracted grain is selling off the combine. One 22000 acre guy i know will have zero canola by time harvest is over. or one bin maybe. Why he contracted when it spiked and its gone. Then you have the very low basis for Jan and 11 pop up all over the place for dec or jan. The games that are played are so funny. Crop is real easy to explain Shit land and poor rainfall area is 50% of 5 year average. Better dirt and little more rain 30% of normal and good rain and soil and F#$King luck is same as normal. No one wants to be the shittiest farmer in the district so its a good quality year. Canola Stocks-to-Use Ratio Expected Lower in 2017/18
Latest supply and demand data from USDA and AAFC point to the stocks-to-use ratio for both domestic canola and global ****seed/canola expected to fall for the fourth consecutive year in 2017/18, points out DTN's Cliff Jamieson. USDA's Sept. 12 Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade shows global stocks-to-use forecast at 6.9%, the third straight year of landing in single digits. This is seen by the trend in the blue line on the attached chart. If realized, this would be the smallest carryout relative to use seen since 2003/04.
Based on this week's AAFC supply and demand estimates, Canada's canola stocks-to-use ration would fall to 3.4%, which is the lowest seen on this chart (red line) and the lowest seen in available Statistics Canada data going back to 1996. While AAFC's supply and demand tables may soon prove dated given this week's model-based production estimates suggesting a much larger crop, demand too will rise given that current AAFC export demand estimates for 2017/18 are close to 1.1 million tonnes lower than realized in the 2016/17 crop year. Stocks relative to use could still be poised to fall even with a larger crop.
Soy is the strangler and only one guy started his don't know yield data yet. Some think its ok some are not sure. Time will tell as most are week to 10 days away.
Pastures are on hold is the only way to call them.
So to wrap up the week some moisture finally fell. Fall work is in full force, every neighbour is dragging any thing out to work sloughs and dry up the we areas that are hopefully back in 2018. Some say wow we got 45 to 60 acres back on some real bad quarters. Swathers are cutting cattails and then now will burn since fire ban is over. Others like us swath right through and will put through or lift and burn later. then Kelly. Or pro till or lemkin etc. We could add 1200 acres and not rent a quarter extra in 2018. But if its dry again probably only the areas were working now will produce anything at all.
On the Fertilizer front got the call you have a day to take this price or its going up up up. Then the call from the equipment dealer buy the combines quick because its going up up up. Then the Seed guy book your seed because it will be wall to wall production in 2018 so good varieties will be gone so up up up. Is it just me or are others sick and tired of the bullshit parasites that live off our hard work. like the corpse isn't even starting to rot and they are stealing the jewelry already. Oh then the grain companies have nothing to complain about so may as well **** with the price and yield projections.
As you get older i now am slowly getting why Crusty old farmer is so true. It wears you down till you say F$%K it I'm gone and under Trudeau's new rules i guess the Chinese company gets the land and my kids get sweet F$%K all thank a Liberal, thank a liberal what a lovely country we have.
So yes the final push is stressful especially if its raining every day in your area or frost on the pumpkins but remember the ones at home are way more important than any crop.
Be safe.
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