Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

[checking]

Gas is not finished moving around yet with his wind floating.

What has to hurt to see is the farmer/rancher that takes over his last operation, and proceeds to screw up all his improvements.

[Lowrider27]

Late harvest

On our farm ( 2500 acres ) we are only at 70% complete. We have 3 quarters of flax and 2 more of RR CS 2000 canola yet to go if the weather ever smartens up again. Hurricanes in the Atlantic and south US are having a dreary damp affect on our weather. We are usually all done harvesting by the second week in September, but this year we got frost (-7c) on our germinated canola and had to reseed over 4 quarters. That really screwed up our flow to the finish line ! Canola and flax testing over 20% mt after .6 in of rain over the last week. Crop grew on 2.25 in total. Sure not a bumper by any means but Dur was a pleasant surprise. No fusarium this year! And no Prossaro used at all. I understand a lot of farmers frustration with grain buyers screwing with prices. But then again , what did we think was gonna happen after we lost our monopoly grain marketing board?Now the multi nationals own us and there isn't a damn thing we can do about it! The world is there oyster ,,,, it's their boat and it's their ocean! How long are we gonna be able to swim??!!

[furrowtickler]

Contract prices for all wheat were good in July .
Now it's called harvest pressure
If one contracted and delivered, now just wait er out till late winter .
Why would grain companies pay any more than needed to buy wheat this time of year ? They know there is lots of wheat going to come in the door for dam near free

[Guest]

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Well another week is gone and harvest kind of moved very slowly due to mist and then finally our first rain since the2nd of August.
We ended up with 1/2 inch on all the farm and one area did have up to 3/4 but it was only a couple sections. So for 2018 crop its a start on the road to the magic 4 inches in fall to replenish the soil. But very thankful to have got any since across the valley one area had barely 2/10 and they were harvesting yesterday afternoon.
We hit the magic 2/3 done and its on to the final 1/3. Some times this last part can take just as long as the first part. Hopefully we get a little out of Friday and mondays system and then it turns dry like they are talking for rest of the month.

On politics it is just amazing how two trust fund misfits can screw up Canada so bad and then blame the working mom and pop business and family farms are the problem. But what really blows my mind is how die hard liberals and unions think the tax changes are awesome. This country is going down a path of destruction and it will end with Canada becoming Greece or Brazil, But the Selfie king will get his United Nations Job like he wants. Useless idiots and idiots who voted for change well your getting it be proud of your choice, I called him our worst PM in history and i think I'm going to be right on that.

Ok here we go the Crop report.

HRS is all but completed in our area. Funny most experts seem to think farms didn't haul that much in off the combine and concentrated on Canola. Our Terminal has turned twice on HRS since August HRS not Canola. So look a little deeper. Yield was just above our five year average.

Durum is off in area nice quality yield similar to little less than HRS but its quality.

Oats early is off and real early is light later is better and very late seeded is also lighter. Yield similar middle seeded is higher.

Flax most is still out and very few have harvested any.

Barley is all off and early and middle made malt. Best specs ever for our farm and yield on mid may seeded is real nice. Now the price of 4 vs 3.50 for feed pisses people off. Malt and barley are shooting them selves in the foot. Acres will be way down in 2018, just because the buyer don't get it.

Peas are off and most sold on contracts. Pea acres next year might be down as missing the one july rain did hurt yield.

Canola the bin breaker that has mountains of Canola all over the west stuffed into every single old shed granary or bag. HA HAH HAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH ITs a joke whats going on and even a bigger joke on farmers are selling off the combine. Yea contracted grain is selling off the combine. One 22000 acre guy i know will have zero canola by time harvest is over. or one bin maybe. Why he contracted when it spiked and its gone. Then you have the very low basis for Jan and 11 pop up all over the place for dec or jan. The games that are played are so funny. Crop is real easy to explain Shit land and poor rainfall area is 50% of 5 year average. Better dirt and little more rain 30% of normal and good rain and soil and F#$King luck is same as normal. No one wants to be the shittiest farmer in the district so its a good quality year. Canola Stocks-to-Use Ratio Expected Lower in 2017/18
Latest supply and demand data from USDA and AAFC point to the stocks-to-use ratio for both domestic canola and global ****seed/canola expected to fall for the fourth consecutive year in 2017/18, points out DTN's Cliff Jamieson. USDA's Sept. 12 Oilseeds: World Markets and Trade shows global stocks-to-use forecast at 6.9%, the third straight year of landing in single digits. This is seen by the trend in the blue line on the attached chart. If realized, this would be the smallest carryout relative to use seen since 2003/04.
Based on this week's AAFC supply and demand estimates, Canada's canola stocks-to-use ration would fall to 3.4%, which is the lowest seen on this chart (red line) and the lowest seen in available Statistics Canada data going back to 1996. While AAFC's supply and demand tables may soon prove dated given this week's model-based production estimates suggesting a much larger crop, demand too will rise given that current AAFC export demand estimates for 2017/18 are close to 1.1 million tonnes lower than realized in the 2016/17 crop year. Stocks relative to use could still be poised to fall even with a larger crop.

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Soy is the strangler and only one guy started his don't know yield data yet. Some think its ok some are not sure. Time will tell as most are week to 10 days away.

Pastures are on hold is the only way to call them.

So to wrap up the week some moisture finally fell. Fall work is in full force, every neighbour is dragging any thing out to work sloughs and dry up the we areas that are hopefully back in 2018. Some say wow we got 45 to 60 acres back on some real bad quarters. Swathers are cutting cattails and then now will burn since fire ban is over. Others like us swath right through and will put through or lift and burn later. then Kelly. Or pro till or lemkin etc. We could add 1200 acres and not rent a quarter extra in 2018. But if its dry again probably only the areas were working now will produce anything at all.

On the Fertilizer front got the call you have a day to take this price or its going up up up. Then the call from the equipment dealer buy the combines quick because its going up up up. Then the Seed guy book your seed because it will be wall to wall production in 2018 so good varieties will be gone so up up up. Is it just me or are others sick and tired of the bullshit parasites that live off our hard work. like the corpse isn't even starting to rot and they are stealing the jewelry already. Oh then the grain companies have nothing to complain about so may as well **** with the price and yield projections.

As you get older i now am slowly getting why Crusty old farmer is so true. It wears you down till you say F$%K it I'm gone and under Trudeau's new rules i guess the Chinese company gets the land and my kids get sweet F$%K all thank a Liberal, thank a liberal what a lovely country we have.

So yes the final push is stressful especially if its raining every day in your area or frost on the pumpkins but remember the ones at home are way more important than any crop.

Be safe.
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ouch , I see what you mean sf3 , drought sure did take its toll on that canola !

[malleefarmer]

i vote for the I HATE bags side of argument.
Have almost 2000 tonne wheat storage capacity in 4 silos.

Sorry sask3

[malleefarmer]

Domestic prices here are starting to hot up, drought basis in NSW see this morning $350 delivered for standard 10 to 11.5% wheat delivered feed lots.

Alas $90 cart for me so numbers don't add up, but logic says its the years to store here as that money will be around possibly till next march april when 2018 season opens up rainfall wise.

And if serious drought spreads locations closer may well be in the market but don't wish drought upon anyone but counter balance if its to expensive some lot feeders will import black sea wheat, balancing act for them and a global economy so grain gets exported and imported

Soybean meal comes in at expense of peas faba beans and lupins in rations if pulses get to expensive they call it "animal protein units" here

[SASKFARMER3]

Yes big shiny bins are the way to go but bags have a place. Easy to fill, remove and now recycle. But the next phase of the yard has 10 or 20 18000 bus hopper bins with the dryer moved over and grain pump. But when the weather kicks you in the teeth for 15 years one year back you don't get that excited to start spending. Wide open fields are fun again and rain total this fall is now 1 out of the 4 needed to replenish the ground. Manitoba got a nice shot again last night.

[farmaholic]

WTF....a Lexion in the background? Is that the neighbor's? If it's a demo....don't they know you wouldn't take one if they gave it to you for free? Don't waste their time!!! ;-)

[SASKFARMER3]

I wanted to see how long it took some one to find it in the back ground.

demo because why price something if can't see how it works. Deere has a camera for tailings Class has a window in cab to the tailings simple.

[Herc]

SF3 will be buying lexions next guaranteed......

What you save in canola and fuel over your S series will be enough to sway anyone.

How about a review of the claas SF3? We are looking to do the same switch but only had one for limited time and would like to hear from someone drinking the same coolaid.

[SASKFARMER3]

Should be running i figure Monday. to Tuesday after fridays rain event. Then maybe a case will show up this fall. Fendt any one.

[farmaholic]

How much time do you think you need to get a true feeling for iron you never operated before. All the setting and tweaking could take as much time as they allow you for the demo. Is the Rep going to show up and give you a crash course/tutorial?

We don't do demos.... Sandbox farmers in the Slum of the Ghetto aren't prospective customers! LOL

[furrowtickler]

I don't think there is much setting and tweaking to be done with with a Lexion .
A few weeks ago is extremely dry canola , yes , but now , hit the canola setting and go .

[blackpowder]

I let other people demo them for a few years first.
Let us know how it goes.

[farming101]

Demos? None in the immediate neighbourhood since the 80's if memory serves me right

Guess that says it all