Where Will Shrinking Pulse Acreage Go In 2018?

[Sheepwheat]

A few years of sub 30 canola yields outside the good old canola regions, will change things. A dozen years of abnormal rainfall, does not an average make, imho.

[the big wheel]

Lots of guys backing out and wanting to return 15 bucks a bushel pea seed. And I mean lots of it!!!
Can't be charging that when peas are 6 and it
Looks like further countries being narrow minded see that our people
Aren't doing a damn thing to retaliate or negotiate so just watch more countries come on board to shut the door. Won't even be the dog food market.
Watch feed barley become not even worth the fuel to grow.

[Hopalong]

Some interesting figures from this year's Sask crop planning guide.
Puts break-even price to cover total expense as follows-
Canola in brown soil zone $7.86 per bushel, dark brown zone $8.57 and black zone $8.77.
Yields are based on crop insurance five year average.
Might be prudent for those on brown soils to look at longer term averages.
Spring wheat is reverse with lowest break even price in black zone.

[SASKFARMER3]

Must be based on a drought and crop insurance in the brown zone.

[bigzee]

If moisture starts coming in the south, and it better, canola will go in ahead of peas. Lentils will still go in, but with low pea prices going forward farmers will go with canola. Moisture will decide what happens. At the crop show many told me they aren’t in any hurry to book canola seed. It’s a wait and see attitude.

[SASKFARMER3]

I agree its a wait and see with Canola. Seeding small seeds into dry ground doesn't work it sits and will be blue till fall if no moisture comes.

I think something is changing in the jet stream but still not seeing the moisture for the south or west like it was for 15 years. I honestly think were heading back to normal.

25 canola in south and west and 40 in east and north and Manitoba higher plus northern Alberta. The days of 60 plus in the south and west was a dream. but the plant is a plant and it cant produce with out moisture and not extreme temps. The seed guides and reps can tell you its superior plant genetics but thats bullshit.

[WiltonRanch]

I agree its a wait and see with Canola. Seeding small seeds into dry ground doesn't work it sits and will be blue till fall if no moisture comes.

I think something is changing in the jet stream but still not seeing the moisture for the south or west like it was for 15 years. I honestly think were heading back to normal.

25 canola in south and west and 40 in east and north and Manitoba higher plus northern Alberta. The days of 60 plus in the south and west was a dream. but the plant is a plant and it cant produce with out moisture and not extreme temps. The seed guides and reps can tell you its superior plant genetics but thats bullshit.

If we ever go back to the drying trend of the 90’s coupled with a decade of poor prices that will cut the sails of lots of us. If we didn’t have cattle in those days. Could rent anything for $25. It’s shaping up for a repeat.

[BFW]

with all the corn coming in to feed livestock a few more acres of barley might be in order.

[WiltonRanch]

with all the corn coming in to feed livestock a few more acres of barley might be in order.

Really? ****ers never want to pay anything for it hence they bring in corn. Aside from places that are good barley areas the rest are better off growing wheat. I like barley for the soil but not for the bottom line.

[Hopalong]

Sask planning guide yields would seem to be based on adequate or even surplus moisture most of us have had past few years.
Like SF3 and many others, our present plan is for half cereals and half canola.
Have not been growing pulse crop past few years so do not worry about that.
Dry slough bottoms and little snow could indicate a dry year but expect to seed all the acres we can.
Futures prices still high enough to cover expected yields from a modestly dryer year.