End of the Week Thursday Report.

[malleefarmer]

Wow, lots of people suggest yhey cant make more wheat acres in the world. Add below plus south america people will plant extra wheat if the dollars add up

Russia's Ministry of Agriculture on land use; "Last year, for the first time in 15 years, the sown areas exceeded 80 million hectares. Compared to 2016, it increased by 620 thousand hectares. Potentially, we can return to circulation another 10 million hectares."

[bgmb]

As we stand today, if now was May 10th with the amount of moisture we have, I couldn't get canola or flax established if my life depended on it.

Hoping for a break from the trend. There's still time.

Can you imagine canola prices if it stays dry. Moisture maps of Western Canada don't look pretty....unless you like the color RED!!!!!

So what is the crop to grow in lentil area? wall to wall durum and mustard?

[farmaholic]

So what is the crop to grow in lentil area? wall to wall durum and mustard?

If we can't establish flax and canola we won't be able to establish mustards either. How much extra mustard do you think the market can absorb anyway?....without destroying the price?

Seeding anything you can bury to moisture might be the only option.

[Oliver88]

Moisture maps of Western Canada don't look pretty....unless you like the color RED!!!!!

Check out this GrainNews for moisture maps.

Quite a change in one year.

[Guest]

As we stand today, if now was May 10th with the amount of moisture we have, I couldn't get canola or flax established if my life depended on it.

Hoping for a break from the trend. There's still time.

Can you imagine canola prices if it stays dry. Moisture maps of Western Canada don't look pretty....unless you like the color RED!!!!!

Didnt you hear all the reports. Crops dont need rain anymore the seed is so good

[SASKFARMER3]

Sad part is some will find out the hard way all these new varieties were bred in the wet years and thats why the big yields some achieved. The seed isn't any better than we had before. Its called rain that made grain. Last year 15 years of excess created a big crop. The tank is empty and seed won't save the show.

Sad fact.

[SASKFARMER3]

You know the more I listen to yhyou liberals and JT yap they never back down from a stanc no matter how bad of a decision it is or was. Got to give it to them die on their sword.

Oh latest poll 3% points behind we’re gaining and will win the next one

[SASKFARMER3]

You know the more I listen to the liberals and JT yap they never back down from a stanc no matter how bad of a decision it is or was. Got to give it to them die on their sword.

Oh latest poll 3% points behind we’re gaining and will win the next one

[Hopalong]

If soil is still dry in May, wonder how many of us will back off on seeding plan to put canola on half our acres?
Think it makes sense on fall banded acres to go ahead and gamble on growing season moisture.
Crop insurance and one more year of Agristability coverage says do it.
Also prospect for lower production and higher prices.
Every farm will have to look at own position.

[farmaholic]

Hopalong.....we aren't in crop insurance but did some looking. Took the last ten years of data submitted to Ag-Stab-Me-In-The-Back and probably only three times on one crop(canola and durum) out of all the crop types we grew in those ten years would have we been in a claim position at 70% coverage(maybe even 60%). Have been reporting at or above area average yeilds, then they only cover "up to" 80% of average. The "what if" on canola on our middle of the road soil class at 80% coverage has us paying a premium of about $22/ac. I actually had to phone and ask if that needed to be reduced because they claim Govs subsidize the premiums.....nope, that's all mine. We have no experience/low claims discount unless I could convince them that from my AgStab data I would have hardly ever collected...going to try and cross that bridge.

Moral of the story....crop insurance would have never really been "worth it" for us. But current conditions are making me nervous. If it is SUPER bad AgStab would cover some expenses.

Ultimately, insurance isn't supposed to be profitable. Lol.

Take care.

[Oliver88]

I keep reading canola acres will increase in 2018 but time will tell.

[ajl]

We are going to wish it was dry in mid May. Weather will change before spring and very expensive canola will be seeded wall to wall. Nice and foggy today here today. Going to need 40+ to make break even. Good luck to all.