Here comes the sun heat and W I N D!

[Guest]

This is unreal already.
To wet for years and now going the other way.
To dry.

Going to need ABOVE AVERAGE rain to grow AN AVERAGE CROP.

Anything below “normal” precip will be far less than average crop.

The subsoil moisture got used up last year.

Rain not needed experts say , $70/ac canola seed and new wheat varieties are so good now . Read it rght in the western producer last fall after record (lol) canola crop .
Only now its not there so calling it “a huge carryover” lol
We’re as dry as we were in the eighties or early 2000’s
Gonna be a lot of speculators with sore arseholes
No one even doing hardly any preburn so dry nothing growing
And this is NE sask , deep in the swamp
I think they’re gonna have a hard time bullshitting us on this crop , unless things drastically change
Dont wait to long to buy your way out of one sided grain contracts !

[SASKFARMER]

We use to say east wind melt rain shortly after

[farmaholic]

Who would have big enough balls to price any 2018 production in the dry areas?

[Guest]

Who would have big enough balls to price any 2018 production in the dry areas?

i' ll bet there's lots done . you will only hear about them if it rains and price drops though

[biglentil]

You know its dry when the regular "its still too wet" whiners are no where to be found. Give me too wet any day, ill dig out my rubber boots and blow the dust off the tow straps. We are close to up shit creek without a paddle, the dealer's showing an Ace. Tell me this what happens to the land price if the stuff doesn't support vegetation? The doorway out gets pretty small if everyone heads for the exits. Not much envy for the bto's this year, glad im not in their shoes. Its painful enough to watch the slow motion train wreck.

[farmaholic]

Just so ****ing happy I don't pay any expensive rent(we only rent 30 acres) and all our dirt is paid for. No, I dont want to take one on the chin, it could hurt but won't knock me out if this year is nearly a complete bust. Inputs.... well, let's just say I "am" optimistic. I really don't want to see anyone get crushed because that means I'm going to feel some pain too.

But the dry area is definitely in serious trouble if there isn't some decent rain along the way. I am NOT seeding for the next two days....basically done anyway but I am not opening the ground on that last quarter in the conditions we will be getting in the next two days.

What a stupid way to try and make a living, who in their right ****ing mind would take this kind of risk.

Insurance might be like putting a band-aid on a gaping wound.

A grand slam seems remote. A home run doesn't even appear possible right now, hoping for at least a base hit, with any luck you might get walked. But being hit by a stray pitch will be like a real poor crop and receiving insurance.....not what you're looking for but it will be a bit of help in keeping you in the game and it might hurt.

[farmaholic]

Wiseguy, does Crop Insurance cover greed and stupidity, I don't think I saw it in the insured perils list.

[makar]

Big lentil if you ever walked in my boots you would think like me, if i am going to lose this crop bring the drought on, wind hasnt stopped blowing. My issue where to throw the dice at inputs.

[makar]

I can still get stuck, or son 2 can. Still not far from a wreck. Mother nature rules.

[SASKFARMER3]

100 an acre doesn't work sorry its Saskatchewan, not Iowa.

We have dry cycles and wet the wet lasted longer and was wetter than I would have liked but it has left the building.

Still, have lots of moisture north of the valley but the wind is sucking it up real quick.

Deep down ground still wet.

Our genius at 70 paying on open bush and breaking land is really special.

Good luck all Farming in Western Canada is not Easy as some thought.

[newguy]

You know its dry when the regular "its still too wet" whiners are no where to be found. Give me too wet any day, ill dig out my rubber boots and blow the dust off the tow straps. We are close to up shit creek without a paddle, the dealer's showing an Ace. Tell me this what happens to the land price if the stuff doesn't support vegetation? The doorway out gets pretty small if everyone heads for the exits. Not much envy for the bto's this year, glad im not in their shoes. Its painful enough to watch the slow motion train wreck.

totally agree.Especially if a guy also runs cattle.a drought get complicated.

[grassfarmer]

totally agree.Especially if a guy also runs cattle.a drought get complicated.

Yep, and the problems are more immediate with livestock. Guys that are running out of feed now need grass now and for the summer and to grow feed for next winter and there are no crop insurance cheques forthcoming. A rancher always prays for rain - it's part of the job description.