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Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

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    #25
    Originally posted by Oliver88 View Post
    Solid question, worthy of its own discussion.

    A seed company at AIM this year is promoting hybrid rye, that they won't be selling by the bushel but instead by the seed (seed a lighter rate for only $65/acre😬).........this to me sounds like a step in the wrong direction to keep inputs under control. Sounds like another slippery slope with a bad ending for farmers, best to not take part in.
    It will come to you whether you like it, or want it, or not.

    Any other Producer's being denied a suck on their own tit(as disgusting as that may sound...let me finish)? What I mean by that is being denied credit card payments for some crop inputs? We keep getting told there is tight margin in some stuff and they can't afford the 1 or 2% the C.C. Co. charges them for a transaction fee. Where do I get a benefit from using and buying this shit...am I supposed to farm rebate programs or make decisions based on what fits the need or even cheaper cost products than rebated/discounted prices through "programs". Seems the assholes won't even let you take a drink from your own well...after YOU drew the water(it's your money and you're paying the bill)

    Ever notice the consolidation taking place?

    Ever notice some retailers get wined and dined or given hot holidays for meeting sales targets or promoting someone's brand over another?

    Does your retailer treat you different if you shop somewhere else for some of your inputs?

    Some days I get tired of being a host to the "parasite party". It is ****ing amazing how many people primary ag directly and indirectly support....look at AIM and some of the people attending field days...i don't mind helping paying some people's wages....as long as they are adding value...but a drain on the "Industry".....?!?!?!?!

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      #26
      Originally posted by grassfarmer View Post
      AF5 - weren't you the guy telling me a while back how much extra we could grow if temperatures increased - although you did acknowledge in a later post that hotter years in western Canada were correlated with lower precipitation?



      Yes, and I meant to post earlier this spring admitting you were right( partly). When winter turned directly to summer, and we were getting 30 C days in May with no rain, our pastures were scary to look at, hardly even greened up. And that time period was certainly what cooked the hay fields. However, I am primarily a grain farmer, and that weather was exactly what we needed. At the end of April when the snow was still deeper than my boots, I was prepared for a late mud fest and seeding a fraction of our acres. Instead, I seeded every acre( except a couple small potholes on some newly acquired land) at the usual dates, never got stuck, only dealt with mud a couple times early on, and as a result, now have the potential to see our best whole farm averages ever. The advantage of being somewhat diversified, there is usually a silver lining.

      Our own pastures did eventually recover, and have been very good ever since, partly thanks to good management during last years dry and this spring. I consider our hay crops to be a disaster by our standards, but 3 tons is likely a decent crop by most standards.

      I actually think that cold ground was a lot of the problem as well. Just because the air was 30 above, the ground was buried under snow a few days previously, and frozen deep. I'm seeing much better crop, pasture or hay on top of pipelines ( heat source) in spite of the hot and dry. Tells me that heat was still the limiting factor, as it has been every year that I have been paying attention.

      Originally posted by grassfarmer View Post
      Joking aside it's a salutary reminder that drought always has been, and will continue to be, the biggest climatic risk facing prairie agriculture.
      You almost had it right, just a few edits to make it accurate:
      Drought had always been, but is becoming less so thanks to climate change and improved techniques, the biggest risk facing the Palliser triangle area. Outside of that area, the biggest risk is more often too much rain, frost, hail and socialist Governments.

      Which has cost you more production this year, the hail or the heat?

      I don't know if you have seen them, but I posted some interesting graphs in the dust storm thread, I would be interested in your take on them. And no, they are not from some "denier".
      Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Jul 19, 2018, 15:58.

      Comment


        #27
        Originally posted by wiseguy
        Saskatchewan crop insurance steals the most !

        5 years no claims

        10000 acres x 20 an acre premium is 200 000 x 5

        1 000 000 premiums !

        They take the premium and give nothing in return !

        Who made who !
        Hey wise guy, how many times have you collected on your fire insurance for your home burning down that you pay a premium on every year? And how many times have you died and collected on your life insurance? Insurance is not supposed to pay every year. It is a just risk management tool. If you don't think you will ever have a crop loss, why do you buy crop insurance? Instead, why don't you simply self insure. Instead of giving that 200,000 to SCI, invest it. That is what SCI does until they pay out losses. Had you done that for the last 5 years you would have had that 1,000,000 plus investment returns in your own account. Of course, lets say your insurance offers $400 and acre coverage, should you have a total crop failure, you are risking $400 X 10,000 acres or 4 million every year. so your own savings would not cover that total failure even after 5 years of self insurance. And by inflating your premiums over 5 years to get the million, you should also inflate the coverage and protection over 5 years which is 20 Million. Remember too that $20 per acre is likely less than just the seed cost for a crop like canola. So is 20 an acre really that expensive considering all the other costs per acre you would have to cover with insurance including land payments, equipment usage and payments, pesticides, and even your living costs?

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          #28
          My acres... durum getting very bumpy, burning the top kernels out, and aborting stools. Heat is kicking the snot out of it.

          Peas aborting top pods.

          Lentils that I seeded later than I wanted, are full bloom, bottom is podding, but wilting during the day.

          Mustard bloomed for 3.5 weeks, pod set seems ok... hoping the heat doesn't make for low test weight.

          Private thundershower today... hopefully plants haven't completely shut down from blazing heat and will plump up what's left.

          In laws place 30mi east of here looks pretty tough. No private showers. Durum burning down, peas burning down(many with zero pods on them), lentils burning down, canola/mustard burning down.

          Comment


            #29
            Originally posted by helmsdale View Post
            My acres... durum getting very bumpy, burning the top kernels out, and aborting stools. Heat is kicking the snot out of it.

            In laws place 30mi east of here looks pretty tough. No private showers. Durum burning down, peas burning down(many with zero pods on them), lentils burning down, canola/mustard burning down.
            Didn’t you say there was a lot of fungicide being sprayed there a while back?

            Comment


              #30
              Originally posted by helmsdale View Post
              My acres... durum getting very bumpy, burning the top kernels out, and aborting stools. Heat is kicking the snot out of it.

              Peas aborting top pods.

              Lentils that I seeded later than I wanted, are full bloom, bottom is podding, but wilting during the day.

              Mustard bloomed for 3.5 weeks, pod set seems ok... hoping the heat doesn't make for low test weight.

              Private thundershower today... hopefully plants haven't completely shut down from blazing heat and will plump up what's left.

              In laws place 30mi east of here looks pretty tough. No private showers. Durum burning down, peas burning down(many with zero pods on them), lentils burning down, canola/mustard burning down.
              Yep dry is an understatement here. Crop is shutting down fast!

              Comment


                #31
                Originally posted by wiseguy
                Saskatchewan crop insurance steals the most !

                5 years no claims

                10000 acres x 20 an acre premium is 200 000 x 5

                1 000 000 premiums !

                They take the premium and give nothing in return !

                Who made who !
                If youre paying $20/ac , you have collected more than a few times accordong to what we pay ?????
                Or do you seed all canola ?

                Comment


                  #32
                  Bly east of Quill Lake really burned up the last few days..
                  Lots of white in the fields.

                  Comment


                    #33
                    Originally posted by caseih View Post
                    If youre paying $20/ac , you have collected more than a few times accordong to what we pay ?????
                    Or do you seed all canola ?
                    They sure treated us good two years ago when we got 40 “ rain

                    Comment


                      #34
                      Originally posted by iceman View Post
                      Didn’t you say there was a lot of fungicide being sprayed there a while back?
                      Yup. Didn't you get the glossy flyer this year? Rain, or shine it pays to apply!

                      Comment


                        #35
                        Originally posted by helmsdale View Post
                        Yup. Didn't you get the glossy flyer this year? Rain, or shine it pays to apply!
                        It’s nice to see the Chem reps will reach their sales goals

                        Comment


                          #36
                          It’s dry this year and yet the sask crop report read rosy today. Basically the rain last week had some hail but most farmland was sitting awesome according to them.

                          This is the reason for this report. Governments of all kinds never want the truth about production shortfalls.

                          Positive positive right till it’s over.

                          Production will be down and production is dropping each day.

                          Who actually thinks a rain this late will give a boost.

                          It will create regrowth in canola, similar in wheat etc. Then harvest horror show will happen because green areas and dead ripe. BUy the swather will be back.

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