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It's Now a Currency War

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    #11
    Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
    https://globalnews.ca/news/3641771/sears-canada-pension-plan/

    The share of pension plans that wouldn’t be able to meet their obligations regardless of what happens to the parent company is a whopping 73 per cent in Ontario. Quebec could not provide a similar estimate.

    If we want to sell govt debt we have to match US rates. Pensions are required to own bonds. They're bleeding to death. Fed has said the rest of the world is on its own, they are normalizing rates for their pension funds.
    So I guess it has to start somewhere for higher rates. I would assume that pension funds would hold a large portion of long term bonds, higher interest rates will actually make them worth less. On the opposite side, I assume Gov debt has a mix of maturity terms and will take a few years to really feel the increase, perhaps about the time of a new governing party left to do the dirty work of balancing the books

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      #12
      Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
      95.16 on DX is my weekly line in the sand. Looks like a turn point on all the macro markets. 510.25 is required on front month chi wheat on close Friday. Anything less and grains are looking like an Oct low
      ZWU18 is 510.75 @ 9:57 eastern
      Keep powder dry

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        #13
        Originally posted by farming101 View Post
        ZWU18 is 510.75 @ 9:57 eastern
        Keep powder dry
        Done deal as far as the turn being made imo. This rally is gonna take some patience but it'll be worth it. Expect ALL markets to reverse trend

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