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    #16
    As always with frosts takes a week to assess damage.

    Damage always variable.

    Markets usually ignore it until harvest late oct/nov/dec in australia.

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      #17
      Originally posted by malleefarmer View Post
      as always with frosts takes a week to assess damage.

      Damage always variable.

      Markets usually ignore it until harvest late oct/nov/dec in australia.
      ......i have time!

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        #18
        The ruskies are the crop dumpers, let them fill the market now. The best time to sell is 6 months from now.

        There is another buck a bushel in these crops for the patient.

        Comment


          #19
          Originally posted by jazz View Post
          The ruskies are the crop dumpers, let them fill the market now. The best time to sell is 6 months from now.

          There is another buck a bushel in these crops for the patient.
          That is true . Hopefully there is at least a buck a bushel for the patient.
          So far we have 30% or so of the wheat priced . Got $7.11 after trucking and drying on the first 600tn . It graded a 2 . But time will tell what the rest will look like, and quality spreads going forward. Since last week there has been rains every 12 hrs or so .
          Have about the same contracted for canola , yields have been between 25 and 60 in the area depending on many factors. We have a good idea on ours but until we get into it your never sure.
          Soybeans got nailed , not sure how bad.
          Blackbeans off in good shape and priced.
          Peas off in excellent shape, ave yields, not priced.
          This weather is far more depressing though for those who have nothing contracted at all . Watching the crop lay out there getting wet every 12 hrs , some have frost damage everything from lite to heavy, then the worst part is watching commodities continue to drop day after day while the crop in the field deteriorates in quality. Rain totals not a lot here but west of here it’s 2 to 3 inches or more now in 2 weeks , or snow further west and north . So now , what do you contract ??? And when ? Until this crop gets in the bin grade , quality and even quantity remain as uncertain as the weather. The “what if it does not come off at all” comes into play for many areas now. There are areas that will not get done now that is almost certain. A lot of deals going on now for an extra combine , that will bite into withering profits as well for some.
          Fert prices continue to go way up for those who never booked earlier. For those that did pre buy / book those bills need to be paid and the harvest window is closing . Just not a good feeling at all for anyone. The majority of the northern Prairies are going to need a near perfect October to have a chance to get er done . It has happened before but time is ticking with every rain system going through.
          And no S/F this is not not normal Sask weather , maybe for your small area but was / is not normal at all for 80% of western Canada at all.
          Even guys with driers can’t move now , the crop stays wet continuously with no sun and cool cloudy conditions in between rains .
          Forecast does look somewhat better after Monday but will take at least a few days to even start with tough grains and oilseeds. Puts us at Sept 20th or so .
          Ahh well , off to watch high school volleyball today. Even at the junior level these girls can play very well now , so it will be entertaining to watch 👍👍.

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            #20
            How much durum is grown where it froze

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              #21
              https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7229712/snow-south-africa-blizzards-desert-giraffes/

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                #22
                Originally posted by Kevinglyfos View Post
                How much durum is grown where it froze
                Not a lot
                Mostly canola , hrsw, CPS, barley crops in those worst effected areas.

                Comment


                  #23
                  Absolutely depressing. Haven’t seen the sun in 2 weeks. Dad talks of years ago same scenario snowing late September and not combining till spring. 2 weeks out temps don’t look to dry bugger all. Short of a miracle things are going from hero to zero.

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                    #24
                    Not looking rosy here either - cloudy with 11-13C highs next week, cloudy single digit highs the following week.

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                      #25
                      Misery loves company. The three inches of white $hit disappeared yesterday mostly and has been replaced again today. The flakes are the size of quarters.



                      The forecast looks just pathetic too. October 7 2016 the snow came and stayed. This is growing old since the last three years everything has gone through the dryer. Never wore rubber boots from May 1 till a week ago and now I need them just to get to the shop. By the end of the month our moisture will probably be average for this growing season....... too bad it couldn’t have come in May or June and did some good.



                      Anybody with crop off better lock the bins..... we don’t need to since they’re still completely empty.

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                        #26


                        Far NW Sask today

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                          #27
                          A record-breaking cold spell in Western Australia's agricultural heartland has shattered farmers' hopes of enjoying a bumper crop harvest.

                          Temperatures in the southern Wheatbelt dipped between 0 and minus 5 degrees Celsius on both Saturday and Sunday morning, while the Great Southern town of Newdegate recorded its lowest-ever temperature of minus 4.3 degrees.

                          Farmers woke to discover heavy frost gripping their wheat and barley crops, which were expected to deliver a combined 14 million tonne harvest this year.

                          Kojonup farmer Dan Ladyman, whose property is about 260 kilometres south-east of Perth, said the frost was fierce and widespread.

                          "First impressions was that it was obviously pretty severe," he said.

                          "It wasn't like the shadows were just frosted, it was a complete white out."



                          He said any significant damage to his crops would become apparent in the coming days.

                          "We probably expect to see a bit of damage in the canola and lupins that have been flowering, and hopefully nothing with the cereals because they aren't flowering yet for us," Mr Ladyman said.

                          "For us, in another two of three weeks when we're flowering is when we definitely don't want to be having (frost).

                          "But that's the game that we're in — we've just got the learn to be able to ride it out if it does happen."

                          Nyabing farmer Scott Crosby reported major damage on his cereal crops.

                          "It's not going to be a fun harvest," he said.



                          "There was some comment that it wouldn't be too bad because the crop is late, but not much likes minus 5 degrees regardless of the crop stage.

                          "What we need is rain ASAP to help reduce the damage. If it stays dry, the damage will be great."

                          Bureau of Meteorology duty forecaster Darryl Vink said a less severe frost event was expected in the coming week.

                          "We've got a cold front approaching the South West this evening — so a bit more wind and bit more cloud preventing the risk of anything extreme in terms of frost," he said.

                          "But then there is another high ridge of high pressure developing with cold wind, light winds and clear skies on Tuesday morning.

                          "So there's a moderate frost potential through the central Wheatbelt and Great Southern on Tuesday morning."

                          In Perth, temperatures fell to 2.8 degrees on Sunday morning, the coldest September low since 2015.

                          Jandakot temperatures slumped to 1.9 degrees, while the mercury reached just 1.6 degrees in the Swan Valley.

                          Perth's coldest ever September day was in 2008, when the temperature plunged to 1 degree.

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                            #28
                            Thin empty heads of wheat at flowering after a frost

                            Click image for larger version

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                              #29
                              Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
                              Thin empty heads of wheat at flowering after a frost

                              [ATTACH]3359[/ATTACH]
                              Must of froze in Ottawa just after the last election ...

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                                #30
                                Stem frost or commonly called here frosted in the boot, head hasnt emerged this barley is being cut down as i type not mine

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