Rate Hikes and Dodo Birds . . . .

[errolanderson]

ECB Draghi announced no rate hike in Europe this morning . . . Fed chair Powell is now on-pause, likely for a long, long time . . . and for the Bank of Canada, good grief.

Watch for the battle between banks for spring mortgages heat up and record bank profits take-a-lick . . . The U.S. is now rapidly heading straight into a recession (IMO). Canada, Europe and Asia are already in-recession.

Government will always be the last to let you know . . . .

[SASKFARMER3]

I think the USA will slow a bit but Canada is on way to a full scale shit show.

Thank a liberal every single day.

[bucket]

How is raising rates going to help?????

[chuckChuck]

SF3, will not the US recession be Trumps fault just like Trudeau is to blame for Canada's recession?

Oh I forgot Trumps your guy! LOL

[Hamloc]

Errol one simple question, how much have Trump's tariffs influenced the global economic slowdown in your opinion?

[jazz]

US will not go into recession. Trump has a multi trillion dollar deal on tap with China to announce in about 30 days. MAGA.

Canada gets flushed with socialist stupidity.

[checking]

.1% GDP loss for every week the US government is shut down. No wonder the US is headed for zero growth in 2019.

In Canada, we just have Trouble, and that is enough.

[SASKFARMER3]

No chuck the USA won’t h e a recession as trump and China will have a deal. Now Canada and our gay prince, well we’re f67$ed

[errolanderson]

Errol one simple question, how much have Trump's tariffs influenced the global economic slowdown in your opinion?

Hamloc . . . Trump tariffs most definitely speeded-up the current global slowdown . . . but it was eventually going to happen anyway. A ticking debt bomb . . . .

Since the collapse of Lehman Bros in 2008, global economies have been in gradual decay despite trillions of dollars in money printing that was supposed to generate inflation.

Now global markets have a serious risk of social unrest which could lead to panicked sell offs. The next generation is now facing this financial mess. There have been harsh warnings of this in Davos, Switzerland this week at the World Economic Summit.

This trade war is now morphing into a technological war that no one can win (IMO). The world is flat when it comes to technology. Watch out for up and coming India over the next generation. Their low debt load and youthful well educated population will be a force in the technology world. India’s GDP may eventually surpass that of the U.S. in my view.

The U.S. is in a battle to maintain their global power. But the tariff war is unwinnable and may last for years . . . .

[WiltonRanch]

Hamloc . . . Trump tariffs most definitely speeded-up the current global slowdown . . . but it was eventually going to happen anyway. A ticking debt bomb . . . .

Since the collapse of Lehman Bros in 2008, global economies have been in gradual decay despite trillions of dollars in money printing that was supposed to generate inflation.

Now global markets have a serious risk of social unrest which could lead to panicked sell offs. The next generation is now facing this financial mess. There have been harsh warnings of this in Davos, Switzerland this week at the World Economic Summit.

This trade war is now morphing into a technological war that no one can win (IMO). The world is flat when it comes to technology. Watch out for up and coming India over the next generation. Their low debt load and youthful well educated population will be a force in the technology world. India’s GDP may eventually surpass that of the U.S. in my view.

The U.S. is in a battle to maintain their global power. But the tariff war is unwinnable and may last for years . . . .

Irrespective of Trump winning do you think this trade war and resulting reprocussions was inevitable?

[errolanderson]

Irrespective of Trump winning do you think this trade war and resulting reprocussions was inevitable?

Wilton, likely the trade war was inevitable Trump or no Trump. It may have taken a different path.

To me, there is an irreversible global economic power shift in the world over the next 10 to 15 years largely led by the debt crisis that lies ahead.

[errolanderson]

The U.S. Fed is now between a rock and a very hard spot. After grandstanding about multi rate hikes coming in 2019, reducing their balance sheet while ‘normalizing’ rates, late 2018, it appears the opposite may be true . . . .

The U.S. bond market and incoming deflationary pressures are now flashing serious warnings of a fast approaching recession (IMO). This is likely the real reason forcing the Fed to pause. This week, both 2 and 5 year U.S. notes broke below 2.5 percent which may be a wake-up call to central bankers.

The Fed pausing has given temporary, renewed life and to U.S. stock markets in January (IMO). But the bond market begs to differ. This suggests more central bank navel grazing as they have lost control. There is some talk that the Fed may again balloon their balance sheet with renewed QE (money printing). Good grief . . . .

Expect equity market rollercoaster days ahead given this incoming chaotic atmosphere . . . .

[tmyrfield]

The U.S. Fed is now between a rock and a very hard spot. After grandstanding about multi rate hikes coming in 2019, reducing their balance sheet while ‘normalizing’ rates, late 2018, it appears the opposite may be true . . . .

The U.S. bond market and incoming deflationary pressures are now flashing serious warnings of a fast approaching recession (IMO). This is likely the real reason forcing the Fed to pause. This week, both 2 and 5 year U.S. notes broke below 2.5 percent which may be a wake-up call to central bankers.

The Fed pausing has given temporary, renewed life and to U.S. stock markets in January (IMO). But the bond market begs to differ. This suggests more central bank navel grazing as they have lost control. There is some talk that the Fed may again balloon their balance sheet with renewed QE (money printing). Good grief . . . .

Expect equity market rollercoaster days ahead given this incoming chaotic atmosphere . . . .

good news here

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/01/nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/01/nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html

more good news here
https://www.thebalance.com/us-economic-outlook-3305669 https://www.thebalance.com/us-economic-outlook-3305669

even the new york times that bastian of MAGA /sarc

https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2019/02/02/us/politics/ap-us-economy-us-vs-world.html https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2019/02/02/us/politics/ap-us-economy-us-vs-world.html

sure glad we don't have a leader like Trump here, who could put up with all the winning?

[errolanderson]

good news here

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/01/nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/01/nonfarm-payrolls-january-2019.html

more good news here
https://www.thebalance.com/us-economic-outlook-3305669 https://www.thebalance.com/us-economic-outlook-3305669

even the new york times that bastian of MAGA /sarc

https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2019/02/02/us/politics/ap-us-economy-us-vs-world.html https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2019/02/02/us/politics/ap-us-economy-us-vs-world.html


sure glad we don't have a leader like Trump here, who could put up with all the winning?

Thanks tymrfield . . . . no mention of exploding debt or rising bond market risks in any of these press releases. Nobody wants to face-the-boogeyman (IMO).

[tmyrfield]

Thanks tymrfield . . . . no mention of exploding debt or rising bond market risks in any of these press releases. Nobody wants to face-the-boogeyman (IMO).

In USA under Trump
People are working
wages are rising
economy is booming
gas is cheap
interest rates are low
dollar is strong
and after almost 3 years of Fakenews media saying the boogeyman is coming , americans are now thinking that maybe their is no such thing as a boogeyman...