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Canola Today?!

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    #13
    Originally posted by jazz View Post
    Was ready. Mostly sold out of 2019 crop. Notified seed dealer might not take seed. Go back to flax.

    Wonder if our new Quebec ag minster is prepared to deal with the Chinese.
    Are you suggesting a little tariff on some Chinese products jazz? Only the big bad president does stuff like that. I think a little tariff might go a long way, after all the Chinese do that themselves.

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      #14
      Originally posted by ajl View Post
      Are you suggesting a little tariff on some Chinese products jazz? Only the big bad president does stuff like that. I think a little tariff might go a long way, after all the Chinese do that themselves.
      No we cant do that. We have to export our resources that's our wealth but we have to import cheap Chinese junk because our labour is too expensive to make anything here and our manufacturing base is shrinking. We are stuck and we should have put ourselves under trumps wing as the new trade order is written but our childish leaders torpedoed that option when they treated him so badly so Trump is going to love watching us twist in the wind.

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        #15
        Bring on the $8 canola and $5 wheat. I'm tired of being priced out of the land market. Time to snip the horns off the land bulls.

        Or at the very least, time to get clubroot farmers to put something else in their rotation!

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          #16
          Originally posted by Marusko View Post
          Bring on the $8 canola and $5 wheat. I'm tired of being priced out of the land market. Time to snip the horns off the land bulls.

          Or at the very least, time to get clubroot farmers to put something else in their rotation!

          Beans tested '09 lows last year, that's this year's canola target here.

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            #17
            Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
            Beans tested '09 lows last year, that's this year's canola target here.
            In what currency? 09 lows in CAD vs. in USD will equate to much different results in 2019 dollars.

            In general, I've never really comprehended how to separate out the currency effect vs. the commodity(for example) in a chart. X vs. Y axis.

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              #18
              October 7, 2009 RSX09 hit 365.20. That would leave a mark...

              China has taken about 25% of the grains Canada has exported so far this year. Barley, Flax, Wheat, Canola and Pea markets would be a mess otherwise

              Cut back on Canola. I'm sure the Canola council wasn't thinking of putting Canadian farmers in the poor house when it suggested production should hit 26 MMT by 2025

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                #19
                "Bring on the $8 canola and $5 wheat. I'm tired of being priced out of the land market. Time to snip the horns off the land bulls."

                Means your net worth will drop too, no win situation. Lenders will be gun shy, nobody happy.

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                  #20
                  Originally posted by farming101 View Post
                  October 7, 2009 RSX09 hit 365.20. That would leave a mark...

                  China has taken about 25% of the grains Canada has exported so far this year. Barley, Flax, Wheat, Canola and Pea markets would be a mess otherwise

                  Cut back on Canola. I'm sure the Canola council wasn't thinking of putting Canadian farmers in the poor house when it suggested production should hit 26 MMT by 2025
                  Whether the markets cut production or club root, industry as a whole suffers. Seed/chem companies, elevators, railroads. Less canola = less Ag value.

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                    #21
                    Crush margin up 11.41 today. Maybe not everybody....

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                      #22
                      What a shit show. China as usual will manipulate with whatever leverage they have to get stuff as cheap as they can. Another tactic here. They smell blood.

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                        #23
                        Originally posted by fjlip View Post
                        "Bring on the $8 canola and $5 wheat. I'm tired of being priced out of the land market. Time to snip the horns off the land bulls."

                        Means your net worth will drop too, no win situation. Lenders will be gun shy, nobody happy.
                        Well I have yet to get a good shot at land anyway so not a lot of networth to drop. Small young farmer, mostly rented acres, forced to have an off-farm job. Which becomes a blessing if there were a pullback. These older/bigger guys buying at 5k-7k/ac have a huge advantage because they have lots of paid off land they bought before the runup. Not that I want anyone to go broke, just would be nice to gain the advantage for a while so I can have a shot at reasonably priced land, same as they had.

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                          #24
                          Been doing this active farming thing for 50 years, land was never cheap or easy to pay for, probably never will be. Saw 16% interest rates in the 80's, and when values decreased nobody would sell for that.

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