https://www.producer.com/2019/03/china-restricts-canadian-wheat-peas-flax-imports/
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
China refuses purchases of all Canadian canola;
Collapse
Logging in...
Welcome to Agriville! You need to login to post messages in the Agriville chat forums. Please login below.
X
-
-
Originally posted by grassfarmer View PostWhere was that reported I can't find any news on other ag product exports being affected?
It's not a done deal yet... but according to G&M they are intending to.
But the story states that current purchases on the books have been cancelled?
The story states, “purchase plans for wheat, peas, flax seed and ****seed meal have all been canceled,†said Gao Huazhi, chief executive of Jiangsu Tongliang International, which imports Canadian agricultural products.
If you can get behind the G&M paywall, here's their story:
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-china-ramps-up-tensions-bars-new-purchases-of-all-canadian-canola-and/ https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-china-ramps-up-tensions-bars-new-purchases-of-all-canadian-canola-and/
Comment
-
Well fellas, you were looking/forecasting for a reset in land rent/value and input/machinery prices. I think you just got it. You didn't think it would happen at any scale without a big change did you? Just like us cattle guys in '03, you get lean, mean and green, you might just survive this. Guys who continue as usual will fill the RB catalog next year.
Comment
-
Guest
Originally posted by grassfarmer View PostThat's a good post Furrow. Particularly with regard to the large transnational Corporations - they can't lose in a situation like this. If they ship less volume of canola from Canada to China they get to ship more of the alternative product from elsewhere. If they make less from Canadian operations they make it up elsewhere in the world. It's noticeable also on the anti-agriculture attacks that the farmer is left alone to fight that - never any support or heavy lifting from the guys that make a living off us. Indeed with this whole fake meat industry developing the big meat processors are all invested in it - quick to throw the meat producing farmer under the bus. It's why I'm not a fan of the transnational corporations controlling agriculture.
Comment
-
Originally posted by helmsdale View PostJust like alot of farms in western canada I would suspect that the large majority of Agricultural Input/Elevator companies are approaching the point of being overextended. They bought into the "there's nowhere to go but up" mentality just as hard as everyone else. Elevators that had stood for years with little to no upgrades, and nearly all of them have undergone major expansions. MAJOR fertilizer equipment expenditures by nearly every one of the majors! All new blenders, storage buildings, and in some cases entirely new facilities. Input companies with shiny new storage buildings, new offices, large $$$ acquisitions of small to medium sized independent suppliers. And every one of these added staff to the payroll! ALL OF THESE have to be paid for, and you can be certain they didnt pay cash for them. Cash flow is king for them just as much as it is for us.
I fully accept that their market power is far more significant than ours is, and they have the ability to pass along a few more of their costs than we do, but when prices decline for commodities, especially on the elevator side, I'm sure that their profit margins are tighter. It's easier to take $4 out of the pie when its worth $15, than it is to take the same $4 when its worth $10.
When prices slide, some sanity starts to inject itself into the input market. Maybe I'm alone on this front, but i backed out my "target" yields this year when ordering inputs. Higher fert prices combined with lower commodity prices mean it just isn't sustainable to throw everything short of the kitchen sink at a crop. If canola acres take a hit, in favor of cereals or other pulses, fert requirements decrease across the board.
Likely weatherable by most everyone except the few who are on an absolute knifes edge, but god forbid this thing hangs over into subsequent years, there's going to be well enough stab wounds to go around for all involved.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Austranada View PostThat's exactly what happens here in WA. I've done it myself. You are not misinformed just uninformed.
I often disagree with guys on here but duefully respect opinions well has to be big for me to block.
Comment
- Reply to this Thread
- Return to Topic List
Comment