Cooling Trend - Ray Garnett
Based on 31 stations across western Canada, May-August 2019 was the coldest growing season since 2010 and tied for the 5th coldest for the period 1985-2019. During that period May-July temperatures have cooled by close to 2°C while May-August temperatures have cooled by 1°C. One of the drivers is diminishing solar activity. In 2019 there have been an average of 5 sunspots a month compared to 11 per month in 2010. The long-term average is 60. In Saskatchewan as of August 26, only 6% of all crops were harvested compared to the 5- year average of 16%. Wheat was 1% harvested and the canola harvest had not yet started. Similarly, the U.S. corn and soybean crops are 10-15 days late after a slow planting start. We are currently in a weather market given the risk of frost damage. The U.S. soybean crop has the highest risk.
Based on 31 stations across western Canada, May-August 2019 was the coldest growing season since 2010 and tied for the 5th coldest for the period 1985-2019. During that period May-July temperatures have cooled by close to 2°C while May-August temperatures have cooled by 1°C. One of the drivers is diminishing solar activity. In 2019 there have been an average of 5 sunspots a month compared to 11 per month in 2010. The long-term average is 60. In Saskatchewan as of August 26, only 6% of all crops were harvested compared to the 5- year average of 16%. Wheat was 1% harvested and the canola harvest had not yet started. Similarly, the U.S. corn and soybean crops are 10-15 days late after a slow planting start. We are currently in a weather market given the risk of frost damage. The U.S. soybean crop has the highest risk.
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