Well here it is logically.
NDP will not get more seats than Layton had. He got 47. Singh will get 30 and split a lot of votes.
Block will get about the same 30-40 seats, mostly at skippys expense and the NDP too. Scheer might even lose a couple.
Atl Canada gave 32 seats to skippy in 2015. CPC will get about 5-8 of those back.
Ontario is a deadlock. Skippy will lose a few seats to Singh in TO. Couple Lib seats in MB, then nothing until lower BC. All CPC. Libs had 18 seats in BC, they will lose half of those.
So 178 seats - 20 to bloc, less 8 from Atl Canada, lose 5 in Ont, another 5 on Prairies and 8 in BC. Would be looking at an upper limit if 132 LPC seats.
Skippy 132 max
Singh 30
Bloc heads 35
Drunk lizzy 1
CPC 141
Might be tighter than we think. Hope not. But if Skippy and Singh team up Alberta is going to go ballistic.
NDP will not get more seats than Layton had. He got 47. Singh will get 30 and split a lot of votes.
Block will get about the same 30-40 seats, mostly at skippys expense and the NDP too. Scheer might even lose a couple.
Atl Canada gave 32 seats to skippy in 2015. CPC will get about 5-8 of those back.
Ontario is a deadlock. Skippy will lose a few seats to Singh in TO. Couple Lib seats in MB, then nothing until lower BC. All CPC. Libs had 18 seats in BC, they will lose half of those.
So 178 seats - 20 to bloc, less 8 from Atl Canada, lose 5 in Ont, another 5 on Prairies and 8 in BC. Would be looking at an upper limit if 132 LPC seats.
Skippy 132 max
Singh 30
Bloc heads 35
Drunk lizzy 1
CPC 141
Might be tighter than we think. Hope not. But if Skippy and Singh team up Alberta is going to go ballistic.
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