Astrometeorologist long term forecast looks like good news.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

It is a perfect example of confirmation bias. As long as "information" confirms what you already believe most people will not check the source, credentials, or even the quality of the "information" and go on to share it. And when called on it, will defend it unquestioningly.

Very well said. Perfect example in the windfarm blocked thread, where Chuck found articles that confirmed what he wanted to find, then repeated it without checking the source or credentials. When I checked the source, it didn't say at all what he thought it said, but that didn't stop him from supporting it unquestioningly.

Edit to add, Chuck really wanted to help prove your point, he just repeated the very same out of context article again today, claiming it supports his bias, even though I showed him yesterday that it did not say at all what he thought it did.

[chuckChuck]

"I don't take any position on his forecast, just threw it out there as about the only good news I have encountered for next year, and with >60% of my crop to harvest next spring, I need all the optimism I can get, which is why I decided to check it now."

A5 sorry to hear you have more 60% of your crop out. That sucks big time.

I know if that was happening to me I wouldn't be feeling to good.

You may be suffering from farm stress so I would recommend talking to the the farm stress line or whatever other farm stress services you have available if you haven't already. Hopefully you have lots of support.

Agriville can be a bit of an escape but it mostly is the same old tread wheel that goes nowhere.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Thanks Chuck, and I genuinely appreciate your concern. But I will be fine, as I have stated before, farming this far West, where we do, growing seasons without major disasters are the exception, I fully expect events such as this, and budget, plan and prepare accordingly. My budget includes a complete wipeout 1 year in 3. Hasn't come to fruition, but that has more to do with taking proactive measures than good luck.

In the process of booking/buying inputs for next year, and deciding if I should stick with long season crops which tolerate hail, excess water and other stresses better, or increase acres of short season barley and God forbidn, greenfeed, in the event that spring is late and wet.
Always a year ahead on inputs, a year behind on marketing, and no debt other than mortgages makes these type of events much less stressful.
Weather is out of my control, but gathering information about historical and potential future weather is the best tool I have to make the informed decisions. So far, I haven't found any useful information from the AGW alarmists that I can use to mitigate risk, so I'm grasping at straws considering any source until it is proven invalid. You know, that open mind thing we keep discussing.

[fjlip]

"Annual global temperature"
CC before any further comments explain HTF anyone arrives at a global temp without a CRAZY amount of possible ERROR and WTF is the margin of ERROR?
We are sick and tired of this imaginary temp!

I like this...If your buddies even use actual data, which they don’t, the data is scientifically “garbage”.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

This is the equivalent of getting your weather forecast from an astrologist!

What is the scientific basis for planets affecting the weather?

Surely you don't take astrology seriously?

What's your sign A5?

Today's horoscope for A5 reads something like this:


Dec 12, 2019: Stick to facts and evidence when presenting a well balanced argument. Today is not the day to take chances or to present flakey ideas that have no scientific basis. Just because someone at your work or school says that no one is interested in what you have to say does not mean that that's true! If you hear this kind of talk from anyone today, you should be suspicious. It's going to be pretty darned obvious that they are playing major mind games with you. You should only believe things you hear with your own ears and see with your own eyes. Second- or third-hand information is nothing but gossip—and it should be treated as such.

Chuck, I apologize for neglecting to acknowledge your excellent post till now. I've been suggesting that you do more original work in your own words, and I am glad to see that you took my advice to heart, and spent some effort creating your own unique post. Well done, and funny too.

[furrowtickler]

Beyond the past 80 years ....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZw4DdocxN0

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Does no one know of any other long term forecasters to suggest?

[malleefarmer]

I’m sure grass will disagree and others perhaps but Boris Johnson is actually Uber intelligent.

Yep doesn’t come across this way but it’s what he prefers.

The world is really shifting politically in my opinion, especially in western countries moving to the right

[blackpowder]

About damn time.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

As I previously suggested, I just revisited the forecast.

The Early Long warm Spring does not seem to have materialized. Anywhere.

It appears this forecast was about as accurate as of the Horoscope that Chuck posted for me above.

Did any of the long range forecast get this Spring right so far?

[fjlip]

Hell no for this spot on earth, BUT in 12,11,10,9 years accurate to 1/10 of a DEGREE!

[wd9]

There is no such thing as a long term forecast. 3 days max.