Originally posted by macdon02
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A Game-Changing Crash . . . .
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Kind of a bit off topic but while watching this meltdown and trying to figure how to get through it with the least damage I ran in to this site;
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/ https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/
Kind of crude and lewd but I find it very entertaining.
Check out and open the tabs for rules of posting. Might be something to look at.
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Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
This is the most important thing to keep in mind. Print it. Frame it. I suspect we are gonna get price action to suck in both sides. There's a new low coming. This coming week will be better to watch then participate.
Cheap is only half way down
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Something to consider:
Allied Healthcare Products Inc. was up 1829% at one point on Friday over last week's closing price.
Closed this week up 975% from last week's close.
The company makes respiratory health products that are in short global supply.
It's just crappy investing and poor timing is all
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Originally posted by TechAnalyst View PostA picture is worth a thousand words, great contribution macdon.
Not saying it isn't useful and possibly predictive, just that it likely provides a lot false positive correlations before the time it actually is useful.
And comparing the vertical scales, if today's market is expected to follow the same trajectory, it will fall to ~60% of its initial value, versus the depression where it fell to ~17% of its initial value(just roughly eyeballing the chart). Quite a difference.Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Mar 1, 2020, 09:13.
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Originally posted by TechAnalyst View PostA picture is worth a thousand words, great contribution macdon.
What I was suggesting is that it helps put the dangers facing the market into perspective. That such an outcome should be considered in a risk assessment given some of the serious issues the world is facing.
Ignore history at our own peril.
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They say 99% of all original ideas are wrong, so by default the correlation to '29 is likely a 1% possibility and there's a very good possibility it's "bear bait". It'll be interesting to watch the froth and doom and gloom if a new low is set. I have no opinion at present, I'm ok just watching for now. Gold is saying risk off. So we wait imo.
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Part of the point I was trying to make, is that if you scale the two y axis on the same percentage, the current move would be 4 times smaller than it looks. Then, the visual correlation falls apart. And I assume that if you extended either back in time any further we would find that there is a reason why the charts start where they do.
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