Western Cdn Select now $4.56 per barrel . . . We are heading for negative . . . .
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oil getting shut-in at record clip.
fearless prediction by year-end...
wti oil-$75/bbl
durum-$11/bus
canola-$13/bus
hrsw-$10/bus
red lentils-35c/lb.
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Originally posted by TASFarms View PostI don’t think oil will recover that fast.
Equity markets were so grossly overvalued, they can go a hell-of-a-lot-lower yet (IMO). Days of ‘nothin-to-it’ record bank profits are long gone.
This will be a generational change in-attitude which will likely occur over the next decade. No instant fix and instant gratification.
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I agree that we are in a "new world" with government debt exploding, however, I believe that after a few years of mediocre returns in the ag sector, that worm is turning as this situation also ignites food shortages for a number of reasons, and investors turn to agricultural commodities from and away from other equities.
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I am actually quite surprised the Saudi's and Russian's didn't do this a long time ago, particularly when North America was figuring out how to drill and frac shale/tight sand formations containing oil. The US went from a significant oil importer to basically self sufficient from what I understand. That is an incredibly successful story. Amazing what high prices do...eventually create their own demise and result is return to low prices.
Oil industry will come back again but not to the same degree as in the past, too much political/social pressure.
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Originally posted by canolacrazy View PostI agree that we are in a "new world" with government debt exploding, however, I believe that after a few years of mediocre returns in the ag sector, that worm is turning as this situation also ignites food shortages for a number of reasons, and investors turn to agricultural commodities from and away from other equities.Last edited by macdon02; Mar 28, 2020, 21:57.
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as erroll said we have moved from a time of relative low volatility to a crash. everything has now changed. no demand for oil, the world is ending as we know it. however when the Russians and Saudi's make an "arrangement", which they eventually will, and oil is shut-in world wide, the demand shock will be extreme. because the virus will subside, and people will get back to work.
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