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Sask. 100% COVID-19 Infected by May 20,2020

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    #25
    Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
    On the cruise ship experiment, only 17% contracted the virus, highly unlikely that a sparsely populated province practicing social distancing is going to exceed the cruise ship.
    They only tested the people showing symptoms on the ship, if I remember correctly. So no way to actually know how many mildly infected people were being allowed to travel home and infect everyone in the process. People interviewed admitted to taking lots of tylenol and other drugs to keep the fever down and not trigger any alarms. Others admitted to not feeling 100%, but wanting to get home and not put in hospital over there. So the cruise ship experiment may have been much worse than the numbers mentioned.

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      #26
      Lots of cases from the grand princess cruise ship if you scroll through the places the person came from. I also wish it would say which town these positives were from in Central northern and southern sask. People would be way more aware if they knew it was in their town. Privacy is going to kill more people.

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        #27
        Originally posted by poorboy View Post
        They only tested the people showing symptoms on the ship, if I remember correctly. So no way to actually know how many mildly infected people were being allowed to travel home and infect everyone in the process. People interviewed admitted to taking lots of tylenol and other drugs to keep the fever down and not trigger any alarms. Others admitted to not feeling 100%, but wanting to get home and not put in hospital over there. So the cruise ship experiment may have been much worse than the numbers mentioned.
        I previously tried to find how many were tested, but couldn't find anything concrete.

        I did find this:

        Cruise ship outbreak helps pin down how deadly the new coronavirus [actually] is”

        Outcomes suggest that, in the real world, [only] about 0.5 percent of COVID-19 infections in China end in death
        By Tina Hesman Saey
        March 12, 2020 at 5:40 pm

        Exactly how deadly COVID-19 is remains up in the air. Limited testing and undetected cases — people with no symptoms or ones so mild they don’t seek medical attention — make it hard to pin down how many are infected. And that number is crucial for calculating the ratio of people who may die from COVID-19.

        Enter the Diamond Princess cruise ship. Quarantined at sea off Japan after a passenger tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, the ship became a natural data lab where nearly everyone was tested and few cases of infection were missed.

        Infections and deaths onboard suggest that the disease’s true fatality ratio in China is about 0.5 percent, though that number may vary from place to place, researchers report March 9 in a paper posted at MedRxiv.org.

        That 0.5 percent is far less than the 3.4 percent of confirmed cases that end in death cited by the World Health Organization, but troubling nonetheless. The WHO’s number has come under fire because the true number of people infected with the virus worldwide is not known.
        That said, I'm not sure if the word "worse" than the numbers mentioned is justified. If many more people were infected and asymptomatic, and therefore are now immune, then we can probably start to return to normalcy sooner than expected. There is increasing talk about testing for antibodies to find how many of our population is already immune, and allowing them to keep vital services functioning. We may find a surprising number of us are already immune, and the worst is behind us( or we may not).

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          #28
          Big problem with this virus is that you can get it over and over so there is no herd immunity. That is the scary thing about it.

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            #29
            Originally posted by BreadWinner View Post
            Big problem with this virus is that you can get it over and over so there is no herd immunity. That is the scary thing about it.
            That does not appear to be the case. There are supposedly a few instances in China, but if I remember right, it is 0.15% of infected. The suspicion is that they were either never fully recovered to start with, or there were false positives.
            Even if 0.15% do get reinfected, that insignificantly small number would still allow society to get back to normal, since 99.85% of those infected would now be immune.

            Subject to change if newer evidence paints a different story.

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              #30
              Originally posted by Crestliner View Post
              Anyone done the math? Infected are doubling every 4 days...following the same path of Spain and Italy. If the same trajectory keeps going, the entire population is infected by May 20th.

              Mortality rate is 3.4% means 35.000 dead just in our province in the next 2 months. The upside is everyone who lives should be immune to it.

              Let’s hope we flatten the curve....
              In The News Today ...
              Saran Wrap Party DOESNT Order ANY Hospital Supplies Till Covid-19 Hit Saskatchewan
              What could possibly go wrong?
              Trying too hard too get an election and bring out a Useless Budget during a pandemic.....
              Yep Sloe Moe is his new name
              Last edited by mustardman; Mar 23, 2020, 19:06.

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                #31
                Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                That does not appear to be the case. There are supposedly a few instances in China, but if I remember right, it is 0.15% of infected. The suspicion is that they were either never fully recovered to start with, or there were false positives.
                Even if 0.15% do get reinfected, that insignificantly small number would still allow society to get back to normal, since 99.85% of those infected would now be immune.

                Subject to change if newer evidence paints a different story.
                Manitoba quietly admitted today that 1 of the 20 positives here, was a false positive.

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