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This is hard to argue against.
I am of the view that the response is going to prove completely unfair and punitive on my children and grandchildren. And I say that as one from a vulnerable group.
Many around me -most of whom have no children, disagree. They believe that the elderly must be protected at all costs.
When the future looks back on this event, I think the older generation will be remembered as one of the most selfish, privileged and self-entitled of all ages. Not only willing, but actively mortgaging the future to gain a few more years of life.
It would appear that some of the response has been exactly opposite to what would be long-term best for society.Last edited by burnt; Apr 26, 2020, 09:26.
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These guys make a good case for Kern County where the prevalence and death rate is favorable.
They make less of a case for big city California.
They make some huge assumptions that cannot be backed up by data. At one point they extrapolate the data to assume that there were 4.7 million case of covid in California on April 18. Well, there were only 280,900 tests recorded on that date. And yet they can say there are 4.7 million cases? Brother.
And then they take the death count and overlay it on this 4.7 million number they extrapolated to arrive at a .03% chance of death.
Well, when you are sick, dying is the last thing that happens to you, and yet they can say the outcome for the rest of the active cases is going to be 0 deaths? Or that the rate will stay the same? Really?
What has really happened since this conference recorded on April 18? 370 more deaths. Using their incomplete calculation parameters the rate of death has gone up 197% since April 18 in California.
Another Non Sequitur
What they do present and that has merit is that it is time to relax some restrictions in many jurisdictions. In Kern county there are fewer cases and hospitalizations. They say health professionals are not working and people are suffering with health issues that need attention. Valid concerns. Business is suffering. A valid concern. Freedom is curtailed. Valid.
How do you open the economy when the county next door has discovered 24 times more cases?
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Originally posted by burnt View PostThis is hard to argue against.
I am of the view that the response is going to prove completely unfair and punitive on my children and grandchildren. And I say that as one from a vulnerable group.
Many around me -most of whom have no children, disagree. They believe that the elderly must be protected at all costs.
When the future looks back on this event, I think the older generation will be remembered as one of the most selfish, privileged and self-entitled of all ages. Not only willing, but actively mortgaging the future to gain a few more years of life.
It would appear that some of the response has been exactly opposite to what would be long-term best for society.
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We need different opinions all the time, what we have heard so far is the one side of the argument and that is lock everybody up and being bombarded by millions of people are going to die which is very far from the truth. I believe these doctors had a good argument with prove to back it up. To close the whole economy for this is totally ridiculus.
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Originally posted by farming101 View PostThese guys make a good case for Kern County where the prevalence and death rate is favorable.
They make less of a case for big city California.
They make some huge assumptions that cannot be backed up by data. At one point they extrapolate the data to assume that there were 4.7 million case of covid in California on April 18. Well, there were only 280,900 tests recorded on that date. And yet they can say there are 4.7 million cases? Brother.
And then they take the death count and overlay it on this 4.7 million number they extrapolated to arrive at a .03% chance of death.
Well, when you are sick, dying is the last thing that happens to you, and yet they can say the outcome for the rest of the active cases is going to be 0 deaths? Or that the rate will stay the same? Really?
What has really happened since this conference recorded on April 18? 370 more deaths. Using their incomplete calculation parameters the rate of death has gone up 197% since April 18 in California.
Another Non Sequitur
What they do present and that has merit is that it is time to relax some restrictions in many jurisdictions. In Kern county there are fewer cases and hospitalizations. They say health professionals are not working and people are suffering with health issues that need attention. Valid concerns. Business is suffering. A valid concern. Freedom is curtailed. Valid.
How do you open the economy when the county next door has discovered 24 times more cases?
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We shall see when things open up restaurants etc and cases start to climb who’s gonna go sit in the restaurant? Not enough likely to keep many businesses going.
It’s not as easy as some think to just say open things up.
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They sure make a lot of unjustified leaps in their numbers.
To get an exposed number % , you would have to test a random 1000 people off the street
Throughout the state. Not just hot neighborhoods .either.
Not those going to the heath system seeking testing.
Which would be a pool much more likely to test positive.
If they cannot get that right from the start.
Then the rest is garbage.
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