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Please stop posting your yields on social media....

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    #11
    Originally posted by newguy View Post
    Yields reported from monitors are about as reliable as a fisherman posting his catch of the day.
    No , a fish is a fish 🐠 , unless they say they caught 20 but only show one picture
    A snapshot of a yield monitor is just that , not the whole story

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      #12
      Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
      Thanks. And as they say, words are cheap, in this case, free.
      And I promise not to post yields of my drowned out crops, likely to be frozen out to. Likely to be a few months away regardless.
      It's like getting a Snickers bar....hahaha...you were not yourself.

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        #13
        Believe me, when you start paying crop share rents, you stop telling anybody what you're doing.

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          #14
          Re export sales yep we know what’s going out here price unknown but tonnages yep.

          Ship bookings known and tenders for shipp8ng slots known. Dates quality quantity.

          Even domestic shipping known not that it happens a lot.

          What’s in every elevator tonnes quality daily r3cievels etc

          We’re sure do things different here.

          Grain is have scouts surveys satellite imagery they know within a few % of what’s out there.

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            #15
            It is incredibly naive to think a farmers post or twitter pic moves the price of grain. The trade knows the yield of crops fairly close. Satellite imagery, pre contracted amounts,targets and just a little observation tells everyone where the crop will be yield wise. Besides virtually everything is ultimately a derivative of corn or beans. A farmer in Kenaston showing a picture of a yield monitor is not going to move Chicago soybeans. The idea that if none of us said a word would send prices soaring is hilarious.

            If you actually believe you have insight that the grain volumes reported are wrong you could make a fortune trading. Every year this discussion happens on here, and every year everyone seems to think yields are exaggerated and yet every year there is plenty of supply for all the elevators and all the canola crushers.

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              #16
              Originally posted by Grahamp View Post
              It is incredibly naive to think a farmers post or twitter pic moves the price of grain. The trade knows the yield of crops fairly close. Satellite imagery, pre contracted amounts,targets and just a little observation tells everyone where the crop will be yield wise. Besides virtually everything is ultimately a derivative of corn or beans. A farmer in Kenaston showing a picture of a yield monitor is not going to move Chicago soybeans. The idea that if none of us said a word would send prices soaring is hilarious.

              If you actually believe you have insight that the grain volumes reported are wrong you could make a fortune trading. Every year this discussion happens on here, and every year everyone seems to think yields are exaggerated and yet every year there is plenty of supply for all the elevators and all the canola crushers.
              Well someone at a so called respected marketing firm did a field survey prior to a heat wave without any rain and western canada is producing a monster crop....so yeah I am a little concerned with yield monitors linked to the WWW and people doing quick calculation with algorithms and moving markets....

              Everyone talks about technology...So when the drill says how much fertilizer went down with the seed and someone is correlating the rainfall for the area.....our info is then confirmed with the yield monitors....would it be wise to continue to give the info for free??????
              Last edited by bucket; Aug 16, 2020, 17:41.

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                #17
                Agree Grahamp, statscan, rain fall, etc individual reports without correlation = 0 value to any one

                Larry is working hard with NDVI, he’s not the only one, and that’s not a perfected system yet

                Siri likely has a good idea what yields are

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                  #18
                  Bayer called one day and asked how I managed my data and if I wanted to join their program for about 1500$ for the acres we farm.

                  Shouldn't someone be paying me for that sort of info?

                  I told them there is too much free data floating around already and told them I'm not interested.

                  I'm sure the data is safe with them and has no value what so ever..... that's why we have to pay them to take it.

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                    #19
                    In 2004 I planted oats, 1 bushel an acre and in the fall I doubled my seed, hows that for bragging?
                    Wife and kids had to go barefoot that winter.

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                      #20
                      It doesn’t really matter how good or bad the crops are. Prices seem to drift down even when yields are well below average. Canada could have a disaster and the rest of the world makes up the difference.
                      Getting harder every year to get ahead.

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