Please stop posting your yields on social media....

[macdon02]

Lol. I don’t know whether you are serious or being sarcastic. The 2013 crop had the following factors.

1. Every single farmer I know hit a new high water mark for yield. There were grain bags, grain piles, grain rings etc. everywhere.
2. Farmers tried to sell the biggest crop in history. By October 2013 Yorkton Cargill was already telling people they weren’t buying anything that wasn’t contracted. (I was also trying to sell my personal record wheat crop.)
3. The worst rail movement in forever.
4. Farmers shared some pictures on Twitter.

Now you can believe that number 4 caused the basis to go to -$4 but I suspect 1-3 probably played a larger role.

Believe what you want. Info travels. There's roughly 275 million ~ bushels of corn blown over last week according to ndvi. It's not enough to get bullish over. Keep your mouth shut and no harm is done. What's the incentive of posting good yields? How exactly does a farmer get paid more, or less taken, by posting? Public forums are totally inaccurate but nothing is gained embellishing or lying. Turns into a measuring contest on who can pull back harder on the stick. No gain only loss.

[malleefarmer]

Agree with embellishing lying on both side of ledger, some post best and talk it up even though average will be lower and opposite other talk it down and get more neither achieves a lot.

I post pics on here of good bad occasional ugly.
Nothing to do with bravado just interest for you guys.

Currently any trader knows the trend at this point in growing year Southern Hemisphere harvest trends northern hemisphere. Regardless of social media.

A guy from cargills calls in once a year around the same week each year during grain fill nothing to hide or gain but talking shit to him calls in on about 100 plus farmers over 3 weeks

[SASKFARMER]

So 15 to 20 isnt worth posting for Canola or HRS?

It's a bumper hahahahaha

Just like the last bumper that never was.

First wheat off in our area compared to last few years it's 40% below.

[GALAXIE500]

So 15 to 20 isnt worth posting for Canola or HRS?

It's a bumper hahahahaha

Just like the last bumper that never was.

First wheat off in our area compared to last few years it's 40% below.

My avg pea yield this year was about 14 bu /acre ( hail didn't do us any favours), so it is not anything to brag about. 10miles north and east of me I talked to one guy who said Hutts are getting 2-3 bpa peas on rented land ! you want bad , that is bad fellas. Old mother nature always bats last. FYI that land with the poor yield was "organically farmed" a few years back, you should have seen the mess he left behind.

[bigzee]

It doesn’t matter the yields, 90% of farmers tend to sell into a falling market ... its called “panic selling”. The other 10% leave grain in bin hoping to win 6-49 without even buy a ticket.

[jazz]

What is the difference between a couple hundred farmers posting yeilds and a couple hundred crop tour people walking fields before harvest?

That crop tour data is relied on quite heavily by the trade from what I can see. Same thing, the trader are always looking for any advantage they can. And as soon as guys firesale it off the combine, the terminals will know too. Probably already happening.

Pre-booking sales and selling off the combine are like showing your hand before the game has even started.

[furrowtickler]

We I can guarantee our yields here were slashed 30-80% from that 2 min of hail across 80% of our farm if that helps .
And about 50 other farms in this area .
Some will have zero as about 15,000 acres getting bailed up right now .

Also canola farther north is not good .
Crops are short , spindly and will be nearly flat to the ground with yields 50% of what they should be .

Yes some good ones in NW sask , but more not so good .

Peas took a beating

[helmsdale]

I honestly dont think it makes shit for difference. The only situation where I could see it being time our benefit, is if "they" believed all the #farmingfortomorrow #agmorethanever #cdnag #feedingtheworld etc... crowd and made a pile of forward sales while disregarding trade opinions, there could be a push for higher bids to fill shipments that cant necessarily be filled.

That aside...

I've always thought yield monitor photos were in tremendously poor taste.

I feel for the guys that have flooded, droughted, hailed crops that are hoping for upward movement in prices. Trust me, I'm there 95+% of the time myself. The special areas regularly disappoints even VERY LOW yield expectations, and on those years its bloody frustrating to hear "the trade" talk about how massive the western canada crop is going to be.

It's a real kick in the junk to have only half your bins full of lightweight product, bills sitting on the desk, plans for next year flapping in the wind, and "the trade" telling you it's in your best interest to book at a shit price cause the only direction is going to be down!

Twitter photos by #twitterag heros? It's impossible to placate those people screaming for attention from the world.

[Richard5]

I wonder what would happen if we reported 60% of actual. Hmmmm, big hit to the ego of the some of these "state of the art" farms.

With these big bins that many of these farms have I wonder how much shrink and settling there is after a week or 2 of sitting and/or air blowing through. a good chunk of the bottom ring if floor also which would have to be excluded in the bushel estimate.

I normally take 10% off of every bin when done harvest, I always end up with a little surprise the right way when done hauling the following year.

[Partners]

Bly by quill lake.
30% less than last yr

[jazz]

Bly by quill lake.
30% less than last yr

Traders sucked a lot of people in. Raise the price on canola 50c and get a wack of pre harvest contracts. Probably be worth $12 in the spring.

[6V53]

Rain and hail this year in strips . Timely hail whacked fields after heading no general bin buster here.

PS don't park all the combines and carts in a neat row. It's a fire hazard and creates animosity. (Right Chuck ?)