Originally posted by chuckChuck
View Post
Perhaps now that you have mastered some simple concepts, we can attempt to have a more technical discussion, rather than the typical flat earth and soot comments?
Yes, there is a natural carbon cycle, constantly sequestering and releasing CO2 into the atmosphere and oceans. Most of it ending up buried in ocean sediment. Which is really fortunate for us, because a small amount of that sequestered Carbon eventually ended up as the hydrocarbons we use to power our modern society. And like virtually all chemical reactions, when you increase the concentration of the limiting reactant, the reaction increases, so unfortunately, by increasing our CO2 output, we are depleting our easily available reserves even faster. At 280 ppm, the system was very close to being in balance, but at over 400, the earth is sequestering much more of what we continue to add, leaving less and less for our long term benefit.
No one is concerned about running out of CO2 ( and certainly not worried about running out of Carbon, the 15th most abundant element on earth) on any human time scale, although on geologic time scales, atmospheric concentrations are slowly headed for levels so low that photosynthetic life will cease to exist.
What any rational, forward thinking person is concerned about, is that without burning fossil fuels, CO2 levels will quickly fall back to their preindustrial near starvation levels( and eventually, and inevitably, much lower), however, populations, and their expectation to maintain their current diets will not immediately fall back to preindustrial levels. This will be even worse if it happens to coincide with the next cyclical cooling event, which causes the oceans to naturally sequester more CO2 as they cool down.
The challenge will be to continue to produce enough food without the very real, very measurable benefits of the slightly increased levels of beneficial CO2 that we have grown accustomed to, and one of the reasons why so many (all) previous apocalyptic predictions of humans demise have failed so miserably.
We either need to find a way to maintain these elevated levels by liberating it from limestone, or we need to find a balance that stretches our predicted fossil fuel reserves out as long as possible to keep levels at the best compromise, until we figure out a better way. None of this is being discussed in official circles, no plans are being made, and we aren't even making an effort to decide what the optimal level might be. If fossil fuels are infinite, then we should likely aim for closer to 1000 ppm, if fossil fuels are nearly exhausted already, then 350 ppm or less is likely a good compromise.
Comment