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Originally posted by jazz View PostEstimating a 37% rebound in Q3. That will pretty much bring the US back in line with precovid. Hope you didnt sell your stocks.
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"The US economy emerged quickly from the depths of the crisis triggered by coronavirus lockdowns this spring, but full recovery remains out of reach.
Official figures show the economy grew at a record 7.4% in the three months to 30 September from the prior quarter, when it suffered a severe decline.
But output remained 2.9% lower compared to the same period a year ago.
The data comes as analysts warn the rebound may be running out of steam.
"Overall, the initial recovery in GDP after the first wave of lockdowns were lifted was stronger than we originally anticipated," said Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics.
"But, with coronavirus infections hitting a record high in recent days and any additional fiscal stimulus unlikely to arrive until, at the earliest, the start of next year, further progress will be much slower."
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"On an annual basis - the way the US prefers to measure growth, which assumes such rates would continue for 12 months - the economy grew by some 33% in the third quarter, following a record 31% contraction in the second.
But after the initial burst of activity, jobs growth has slowed and employers have yet to restore more than 10 million positions cut during the spring."
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-54723914
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GDP simply measures all the spending and borrowing that goes on in an economy. It does not differentiate between productive and unproductive spending. Much of the current boost to GDP is the result of the worldwide push for governments to borrow unprecedented sums of capital and then dole it out to be consumed. The Trump administration has been as much a proponent of this strategy as any other. Exploding deficits at all levels of government should not be celebrated.
The GDP boost comes as a result of racking up debts that ultimately cannot be repaid.
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Originally posted by Austrian Economics View PostThe GDP boost comes as a result of racking up debts that ultimately cannot be repaid.
Places like Canada will be living on it for possibly another yr. maybe two, pushing much harder on our debt ceiling and fiscal limits. Quick sharp pain is always better than prolonged torture.
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