Canola shortage

[zeefarmer]

Would you put that past any farmer? We overproduce any time we see any kind of a profit.

Lentil acres will be down in our little area of SW Sask. Aphanomyces are winning and there's no cure except no lentils. Lots are talking canola as a replacement.

[FarmJunkie]

Your right Zee. We farmers can phuck up any good thing. Guaranteed it will be yellow wall to wall in our area next year. Have had some very good crops the last 4-5 years and I’m sure most guys will roll the dice again. Gonna be tougher to get a good one next year if it don’t rain a bunch.

[malleefarmer]

Unreal aint it, hemisphere apart, were being encouraged to sell sell at record levels, looming glut, you guys polar opposite hold hold hold super shortage.

Devils advocate wouldnt mind betting our excess canola ends up in someof your traditional markets.

If there will to buy at these $600 plus levels farmers here sell to those exporters.

Canada has got our barley market by all reports into ch8na last few sales.

[Oliver88]

Wild Oats was 40% sold Aug 25. Any one subscribe? At what price?

If prices before Aug 25th I‘m guessing $10-10.50 range???

[TASFarms]

West cent sask

[SASKFARMER]

Barley will be all gone.

Canola will be all gone by July.

We have a hiccup in NA next summer who knows. Oh right, Western Canada is bone dry.

[bucket]

Canola will be all gone by July.

How will statscan spin this????? If it doesnt rain early next year there will be some explaining to do by Statscan as there won't be the 2021 crop to fudge the numbers with...

[the big wheel]

Better buy your seed now!!!

[shtferbrains]

If its gone statscan is out of the picture.
Do you remember the market runup when there was no Flax.
I don't remember the year but I watched it on an Apple 2E.

[LEP]

West cent sask

G3 Plenty?

[jazz]

If the canola production matches what my own farm experienced, the production is some 15-20% down from most years. And carryout from 2019 was gone in June this year. That means it will be gone in April this yr. Guess the harvest from hell may pay some dividends yet.

Like I said guys will have to break rotation to make that up and as soon as that intent is signaled in the market, another crop will be the beneficiary. Cereals I suppose.

[ajl]

Makes you wonder who and how much was paid by china to spread misinformation about crop size these past couple of years once they knew that they were going to have to ramp up purchases this past summer. Maybe your marketing advisor was a recipient? Market reports from grain buyers no doubt are compromised but I don't pay for them so they can say what they want. Stats can has worked for them for free for years but they don't move the market since they have proven to be full of it for a long time now.