Originally posted by sumdumguy
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Originally posted by bucket View PostAnd Neil Townsend did their bidding...he should be taken to the town square and kicked in the balls.
100s of millions out of farmer's pockets on his "analysis" of crop size...had the nerve to argue provincial estimates that were based on yield monitors from a combine cab...
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Originally posted by SASKFARMER View PostAs an example, a farmer has 200000 bus of Canola probably is either out at 12 or has maybe 20% left.
If he knew in Fall sales were happening at such a strong amount he would hold back as long as he could.
Maybe 3/4 left to move at 16 or higher.
The cash difference is $440,000 extra in a farmer's pocket.
Just for knowing what the Grain Companies were doing.
We as farmers would spend that on STuff making the Canadian economy stronger. Now it goes to grain company profits. Most Private family companies.
Leaves very little faith in market reporting from line companies and market experts.
thats a big reason why canola is now near historic highs, huge carry over was never there, sales went unreported, the 2020 canola crop was less than 'experts' claimed all bolstered by soybeans as well.
Regardless the chickens have come home to roost now .
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Originally posted by furrowtickler View PostAlso the carry over stocks were way over 'estimated' , if the carryover stocks were as large as stated canola would be barely over $12 now and maybe starting a run , not just after the harvest flush finished. Canola was way undervalued last summer and going into harvest based on false high carry over stocks and projections of a record crop.
Leaves very little faith in market reporting from line companies and market experts.
thats a big reason why canola is now near historic highs, huge carry over was never there, sales went unreported, the 2020 canola crop was less than 'experts' claimed all bolstered by soybeans as well.
Regardless the chickens have come home to roost now .
There is no such thing as negative canola stocks...zero is zero...if you have an agency that is honest. Whether it be the CGC or statscan.
In my estimation they have been borrowing from new crop for years to make their numbers work...can get away with fake numbers in July when the crop is only days from coming in...little tougher to do in January.
But this discussion boils down to this.....when will this be investigated by the ag committee?????Last edited by bucket; Feb 9, 2021, 10:19.
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Originally posted by bucket View PostAs usual, I will add my stupid comments ....once we hit zero carryover the math becomes simple...
There is no such thing as negative canola stocks...zero is zero...if you have an agency that is honest. Whether it be the CGC or statscan.
In my estimation they have been borrowing from new crop for years to make their numbers work...can get away with fake numbers in July when the crop is only days from coming in...little tougher to do in January.
But this discussion boils down to this.....when will this be investigated by the ag committee?????
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Guest
Originally posted by furrowtickler View PostAlso the carry over stocks were way over 'estimated' , if the carryover stocks were as large as stated canola would be barely over $12 now and maybe starting a run , not just after the harvest flush finished. Canola was way undervalued last summer and going into harvest based on false high carry over stocks and projections of a record crop.
Leaves very little faith in market reporting from line companies and market experts.
thats a big reason why canola is now near historic highs, huge carry over was never there, sales went unreported, the 2020 canola crop was less than 'experts' claimed all bolstered by soybeans as well.
Regardless the chickens have come home to roost now .
huge , huge 2020 crop !!
what could possibly have gone wrong ?
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One other thing that was rarely mentioned was the massive flooding in a huge crop growing area in late summer in China
But getting reliable info out of China is a mystery most times at best .
Regardless it leaves us in a much better position now than a year ago at this time .
Have to look through muddy water at times to see a little more clear on our own. Sales reporting should help and most countries do .
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STOP paying for market advise. Unpopular opinion I know. Use your head, read news, and live with your decisions. I don’t need to pay someone to make mistakes. I can do that all on my own.
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Originally posted by bucket View PostIt sure would be nice to see our checkoff money spent on lobbying for this and carbon sequestering...
Considering that is what farmers asked for through resolutions at the AGMS.
What good does a new variety do for you if you lose 150 bucks an acre in lack of transparency in the market? ????
Thank you Mr. Weber for pushing this in media....farmers have to start being more engaged on this .
Call your MPS that are still patting themselves on the back for the open market...how about finishing the job.
When you talk of getting paid on carbon sequestration. Don't expect to see any of that money on rented land.
Can add more on new thread later.
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Originally posted by malleefarmer View PostYour China wheat sale got a mention here in commodity reports.
Just fn once i'd like a grain company announce that they sold wheat to China - canola to China - peas to China...
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