Drought Watch 2021

[Taiga]

My oats starting turning white today. Foundation seed. Should have gone bin run this year..

[fcr]

Took a drive down to ritchie bros.sight today, hardly anyone there looking. Crops from buffalo pound to wilcox look good, still have water in sloughs and ditches in spots.North of the valley is a different story,barley is a disaster,canola short and patchy, wheat turning white. Lentils look good however.

[furrowtickler]

I just checked where canola is grown in the US.



All in the heart of the drought. PNW is in even worse shape than ND.

Canola oil Worldwide:

Kazakhstan with a production of 240,000 MT is the tenth country
Pakistan, with a production of 322,000 MT is the 9th largest producer of this oil.
Belarus is the 8th with a production of 681,000 MT
United States with a production of 1,013,000 MT is the 7th.
The 6th largest producer of this oil is Russia with a production of 1,437,000 MT
Ukraine being the 5th has a production of 2,367,000 MT
Australia comes next at 4th place with a production of 3,814,000 MT
India is the 3rd largest producer of Canola Oil, and the production is of 7,946,000 MT
China with a production of 14,853,000 MT is the 2nd largest Canola Oil producing country
Canada leads all with Canola Oil production with a production of 18,362,000 MT

EU is not on the list, do they only grow ****seed? Or are the individual countries too small to register on teh top 10 list?

China and India are not net exporters. So that leaves all the rest to fill the void, which combined grow only half as much as all of Canada as of these 2017 stats.

So if this crop comes up as short as some are speculating, there is no where else in the world to make up the shortfall from. Do big name food and restaurant companies reverse their years long marketing campaigns and subsititute canola with other products after spending all this marketing money promoting the health benefits?

Will not be speculating now , it will be short

[bucket]

Will not be speculating now , it will be short

What an incredible opportunity for galen weston

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Will not be speculating now , it will be short

Without a doubt it will be short. But will it be disasterously short, or just really bad?
Market doesn't seem convinced of the disaster outcome.

[jazz]

Without a doubt it will be short. But will it be disasterously short, or just really bad?
Market doesn't seem convinced of the disaster outcome.

We will also be short spring moisture again unless we have a hell of a winter.

Are guys going to roll the canola dice in the south again with those conditions?

[sawfly1]

Had a trip to Keneston , was sick of looking at sad crops here ,, well from Landis to stoon , and south to Keneston , then east bad bad canola, came home via outlook ,Rosetown, bigger. . West of Keneston , things got better, for 15 - 20 miles , then down hill again , no hell at rosetown, to bigger , a good shower at outlook , the last ten miles home , wow crops here look great in comparison at least until they run out
Of moisture ,Completely, no rain here. Saw Tons of super late canola how ?( they could be the lucky ones)and other stuff that almost looks done flowering a foot high. Brutal. Plus a lot of sad barley.
I hope they did not contract 60 bushels., lentils looked like a crop, 85 % of the wheat ,same , with some
Potential, peas so so., , but the poor canola.,
Maybe I just went thru the worst if it , , 30 40 % of a decent crop.?