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Summer Crash?

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    #41
    Equity rout continues in Asia. Hang Seng tech index crashing down 17 percent over past week. China indexes appear down 10 percent plus.

    This could spread across global stock and commodity markets quickly, if uncontained.
    Last edited by errolanderson; Jul 27, 2021, 03:03.

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      #42
      If china, Taiwan, etc companies get derailed we will never get tires, repairs, etc
      For a very long time

      Plus all the consumer goods

      Fountain tire warehouse in saskatoon yard is almost empty ( its on south circle drive) for tires

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        #43
        Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
        If china, Taiwan, etc companies get derailed we will never get tires, repairs, etc
        For a very long time

        Plus all the consumer goods

        Fountain tire warehouse in saskatoon yard is almost empty ( its on south circle drive) for tires
        Decided to stock up on some tires that are needing replacement soon anyway for that reason. The problem is that you can't predict when you're gonna run into something and wreck a tire like happened here last summer.

        The best laid plans...

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          #44
          Hang Seng index under heavy selling fire tonite. Tech fallout. North America feels equity impact, including commodities.

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            #45
            Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
            Hang Seng index under heavy selling fire tonite. Tech fallout. North America feels equity impact, including commodities.
            Forbes has indicated China has just wiped out $1 trillion in Asian equity markets.

            It makes for an amazing headline, and if true, this Asian financial washout will impact global equity and commodity markets.

            This will be yet another incoming challenge for central bankers to keep the investor flock calm. Investment though appears heading back toward U.S., but market waves wiil be generated by these losses (IMO) . . . .

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              #46
              Errol whats your opinion on the vintage muscle car market, do you think once all the baby boomers are gone, will that market die with them or will their kids continue on even though they don't have the same emotional attachment to the old 426 Hemi as Dad did.

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                #47
                Originally posted by rumrocks View Post
                Errol whats your opinion on the vintage muscle car market, do you think once all the baby boomers are gone, will that market die with them or will their kids continue on even though they don't have the same emotional attachment to the old 426 Hemi as Dad did.
                I fit that category dead on . . . . The 70’s produced the best car designs, with beasts of engines. Even, music was the best and still is for generations (IMO). But, yes us old guys are getting older.

                Should equities take a 20 to 25 percent pullback, most asset classes will drop. Cash will be at some point king. But the drop in muscle cars may be shortlived. There is strong value longterm in a market despite us old guys riding off into the sunset.

                Buy the dips is my opinion.

                Now where did I put my spoon?

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                  #48
                  PS: U.S. congress missed debt ceiling. Treasury dept using emergency cash saving measures.

                  And the stock market rallies today . . . .

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                    #49
                    Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                    PS: U.S. congress missed debt ceiling. Treasury dept using emergency cash saving measures.

                    And the stock market rallies today . . . .
                    errol, the US has had that debt ceiling head fake going on for 20 yrs now. Its all noise. US wont default that way.

                    But I would be interested in your views on the actions in the repo market. A trillion is being parked their overnight. Banks would rather take a miniscule premium than lend it out into the economy? Sounds like they are questioning where the reinflation trade goes from here. People took govt money and blew it or upgraded their home or car. None of it went into improving productive capacity. The high in the US economy is probably going to wear off pretty fast.

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                      #50
                      Originally posted by jazz View Post
                      errol, the US has had that debt ceiling head fake going on for 20 yrs now. Its all noise. US wont default that way.

                      But I would be interested in your views on the actions in the repo market. A trillion is being parked their overnight. Banks would rather take a miniscule premium than lend it out into the economy? Sounds like they are questioning where the reinflation trade goes from here. People took govt money and blew it or upgraded their home or car. None of it went into improving productive capacity. The high in the US economy is probably going to wear off pretty fast.
                      The yield on 10-year U.S. government bonds fell below 1.20 percent today. A very ugly chart. It appears that China sneezing is giving the U.S. a cold . . . .

                      Bond market is a key indicator.

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