If bins are empty for harvest ?

[bucket]

Would that not force the graincos to bid higher.

I get that everyone needs cash but why would I put any sales into new crop if there is no rain for 2 weeks?

North Dakota has guys saying there crops won't make green feed , too short, same thing will happen here, won't it?

[bucket]

Does anyone think there is chemical residual affecting the canola crop?

The chemical companies won't admit it but the inch of rain most of the area received should have germinated the crop,,,,, not left it patchy like what is seen around here.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Does anyone think there is chemical residual affecting the canola crop?

The chemical companies won't admit it but the inch of rain most of the area received should have germinated the crop,,,,, not left it patchy like what is seen around here.

On a really dry spring a few years ago I seeded canola into plowed hay sod. It was sprayed out so I was committed to working it up ( before I was brave enough to try sod seeding). Started plowing only to discover that it was already bone dry. Seeded under the assumption that it always rains. Except it didn't.
Finally started getting some showers and a bit of rain in late June. Still almost none germinated. Took until late July before most germinated.
Does the seed somehow harden off and needs to wait for very wet conditions after sitting in dry soil for a long time?
Does the seed coating have anything to do with this?

[sumdumguy]

Buy Canola futures. Unless we get rain very soon, she’s Canola party over.

[ajl]

Sketchy canola fields around here are finally starting to look half decent. Now the dilemma is that if the weather comes as forecast then I have enough fertilizer out in my canola fields but if the weather was to give the crop what it needs then I am short fertilizer. The 2 in of rain we got May 18 is needed this week. Most of it went to waste when it came. Canola seeded after that event is better than the stuff before. I have both. Still laughing at guys in the dry zone that put enough inputs on for 45 bu canola. Even here in traditional canola country, 50 bu of inputs and a 5 bu yield like many got last year hurts. Wonder how much longer the canola council is going to stick to the fictional average yields that they posted like the 41 last year when more realistic was 35. Wonder what it will be this year? Did they get money from china to promote that BS last year? Influencing is big business these days.

[Guest]

Touring around I see lots of poor canola crops on wheat stubble !

strange ? that is our worst one ?
is there a connection?

[helmsdale]

If the latest ECMWF model is correct, it'll be all over by the end of next week.

At least for us, we have 90*+ for saturday through thursday, and 3 days exceeding 100f.

Even with subsoil moisture that seriously clips the top end. If you're living on the rain we've had so far this season that crop is going to want to crawl back into the ground.

Pacific NW is going to get absolutely hammered with this heat wave it looks like... Temperatures exceeding 110 for multiple days in a row. The Palouse Hills area has been struggling, it'll likely be game over.

Northern US plains also expected to be HOT. That likely seals the fate for US HRSW.

Obviously there is time for models to change, but I don't like what I see!

[WiltonRanch]

This area crops look alright outside of early planted canola. It looks rough and hasn’t improved. Some fields ranging from 6 leaf to emerging with patches of nothing. We’ve had good rains but not a good start for canola. I never determine how well a canola crop will be by it’s state in June. Often a crappy looking stand turns out to surprise and the reverse as well. This year I just don’t feel that will be the case. Need some cold murky wet days for it to recover but we just get a bunch of wind.

[jamesb]

In my drives over the past week I have seen about every type of crop condition there is, from canola bolting that should be sprayed out to nice thick canola with large cabbage leaves. Same for cereals too. There are crops that cant look any better to those that any amount of rain or ideal weather cant fix. For our own farm, the rain just over a week ago saved the crop but if we don't see rain fairly soon things will start going back again. I would say at best that we will see a low average crop if we get another rain in a reasonable time frame.

[agstar77]

This is probably the worst year to have presold.

[sumdumguy]

Lentils sown into stubble yellowing some fields. probably root rot. 👎

[GALAXIE500]

Well here where I live ( NW of Maple Creek ) , the crops are holding for now. She hit 37 degrees today and some wind with it , no like 2 weeks ago when it was 38 and 40 for two days with a SW wind at 50 mph. That didn't help anything. Pastures are turning now , and it looks like the forecast for next week is a high of 38 for a few days, not good at all. Peas look poor , and cereals look good, but EVERYTHING needs an inch of rain.


two and a 1/4 inches of moisture does not a bumper crop make !

Take care all.

[sumdumguy]

Guys are pre/selling their large green lentils for 35cents/lb and green peas for $9.00. Wow, hope they have act-of God.

[iceman]

Guys are pre/selling their large green lentils for 35cents/lb and green peas for $9.00. Wow, hope they have act-of God.

When do you ever come out ahead from pre selling pulse?
It must be like 1 outta 9 years thing.
Than the grading games begin

Iceman out

[Challenger007]

Guys are pre/selling their large green lentils for 35cents/lb and green peas for $9.00. Wow, hope they have act-of God.

What if the harvest is less and its real value is higher? The preliminary cost is not bad, but the weather is very unstable right now.