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Ag Canada trims Canola production. Read for a good laugh.

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    #31
    Red pepper by mid August

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      #32
      Originally posted by Robertbarlage View Post
      Red pepper by mid August
      Ag Csnada will blame farmers for not answering Stats Canada surveys so they were forced to use 10 year average production numbers,,????
      Cheers!
      I did 5 hours of survey in east central Alberta… no rain in July for some… if we had 2 inches of rain in the next week, perhaps 60% of normal… but we must get a general rain with good coverage soon…

      But Ag Canada is likely using average rain from now on!!!

      Cheers

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        #33
        [QUOTE=TOM4CWB;502290]Ag Csnada will blame farmers for not answering Stats Canada surveys so they were forced to use 10 year average production numbers,,????
        Cheers!
        I did 5 hours of survey in east central Alberta… no rain in July for some… if we had 2 inches of rain in the next week, perhaps 60% of normal… but we must get a general rain with good coverage soon…

        But Ag Canada is likely using average rain from now on!!!

        Some of our Viewfield CWRS Wheat… looks like less than 50% of normal… without rain soon… Canola will be less, like above we need good pod fill to get 50%




        The Canola field came back in bloom…


        This was the field a week ago…


        Cheers
        PS very wild storm hitting Edmonton now…
        Last edited by TOM4CWB; Jul 21, 2021, 23:07.

        Comment


          #34
          Good to see that Ag Canada is in regular communication with Alberta Ag, and Sask Ag:



          Sask canola is 72% lower in the good excellent category than it was in the middle of June, and Ag Canada only drops their estimate by 5.8% over the same time period?

          And that data is almost 10 days old, how much worse are the numbers by now?

          Comment


            #35
            Originally posted by TOM4CWB View Post
            Ag Csnada will blame farmers for not answering Stats Canada surveys so they were forced to use 10 year average production numbers,,????
            Cheers!
            I did 5 hours of survey in east central Alberta… no rain in July for some… if we had 2 inches of rain in the next week, perhaps 60% of normal… but we must get a general rain with good coverage soon…

            But Ag Canada is likely using average rain from now on!!!

            Cheers
            I had the same thought Tom about the impact of fictional information provided by farmers to stats Canada. It is funny how farmers are so upset about wild ag Canada estimates but have no problem lying about seeded acres and carryover to stats Canada. For all the conspirators out there, if the government really wanted to screw some farmers all they would have to do is to base any drought relief program out the stats Canada information every farmer provided this spring Then they would not have to worry about some farmers not being in crop insurance or agristability as all farmers get the crop survey. Nor would they have to worry about inaccurate information as it comes straight from the farmers and given their criticism of ag Canada data, surely the information straight from the farmers would be true.

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              #36
              Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
              Good to see that Ag Canada is in regular communication with Alberta Ag, and Sask Ag:



              Sask canola is 72% lower in the good excellent category than it was in the middle of June, and Ag Canada only drops their estimate by 5.8% over the same time period?

              And that data is almost 10 days old, how much worse are the numbers by now?
              Probably 1% per day lower ?

              Comment


                #37
                Originally posted by dmlfarmer View Post
                I had the same thought Tom about the impact of fictional information provided by farmers to stats Canada. It is funny how farmers are so upset about wild ag Canada estimates but have no problem lying about seeded acres and carryover to stats Canada. For all the conspirators out there, if the government really wanted to screw some farmers all they would have to do is to base any drought relief program out the stats Canada information every farmer provided this spring Then they would not have to worry about some farmers not being in crop insurance or agristability as all farmers get the crop survey. Nor would they have to worry about inaccurate information as it comes straight from the farmers and given their criticism of ag Canada data, surely the information straight from the farmers would be true.
                This was a production estimate, not a seeded acreage report .
                You trying to get employee of the month again ?

                Comment


                  #38
                  Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                  This was a production estimate, not a seeded acreage report .
                  You trying to get employee of the month again ?
                  yield X acres = production.

                  Comment


                    #39
                    Originally posted by dmlfarmer View Post
                    yield X acres = production.
                    So they grab yield out of thin air ? Yield was not part of Survey . Using average yields in a severe drought year is simply incompetence .
                    Maybe they used Neil’s numbers , regardless it so far out they will have a hard time massaging the numbers next time .

                    Comment


                      #40
                      Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                      So they grab yield out of thin air ? Yield was not part of Survey . Using average yields in a severe drought year is simply incompetence .
                      Maybe they used Neil’s numbers , regardless it so far out they will have a hard time massaging the numbers next time .
                      maybe ag canada uses the same formula for getting yields as SaskF presented and then multiplied by those stats Canada acreage numbers that farmers provided.

                      The point is, it is easy to call out Ag Canada estimate and I agree it is rediculous, but so is some of the information that farmers provide Stats Canada. Information that government uses to develop programs.

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