Ag Canada trims Canola production. Read for a good laugh.

[furrowtickler]

Wow Larry that’s real bad. Be no export this year Just enuf to keep the crushers happy at this rate.

What about exports already booked ?
Will that be diverted to crushers ? Or can it at this point ?

[furrowtickler]

All this highlights is people that get a university education and then go work for the government are just in training to be a weatherman.

Or booted off the farm then become political activists or policy makers 👎👎

[furrowtickler]

Larry I am guessing 2 bpa per week has been chopped off the average since your June 29th estimate??

Even with a few small pockets getting rains ?

[bucket]

Or booted off the farm then become political activists or policy makers 👎👎

Or worse yet sit on boards doing SFA...but say they represent farmers.

How is it we don't have a drought program for this country...

[bucket]

Or booted off the farm then become political activists or policy makers 👎👎

Or worse yet sit on boards doing SFA...but say they represent farmers.

How is it we don't have a drought program for this country...

[LWeber]

Larry I am guessing 2 bpa per week has been chopped off the average since your June 29th estimate??

Even with a few small pockets getting rains ?

Two canola estimates this week both came from WPG and I doubt have set foot in a canola field in SK or AB.

Ag Can at 19.885 MMT
Leftfield at 16.65 MMT

I don't walk nearly as much as i used to - I've learned to trust the CCAP index once you layer the YTD (April 01) rainfall by RM.

I wouldn't want to even guess what we've lost per week. Some RMs have turned up zeros for rain since June 29th. Thats fn frightful...

I'll post my canola number when it is done...

[Spyguy]

The sad part of this story is that those people are getting paid and way better then the producer who has all the skin in the game and millions invested. Way to big of a disconnect in agriculture.
If all the useless jobs in the agriculture were eliminated half the province would starve. way to top heavy with all the rewards going to companies all of the back of producers.
I think we better stick together as producers and push to have grain contracts rolled to next year. Some companies are talking about it and some won’t even consider it. Well the ones that don’t will never see me again. I hope they go broke. We all need to boycott them.
I think we all know who the greedy ones are.

[Hamloc]

The sad part of this story is that those people are getting paid and way better then the producer who has all the skin in the game and millions invested. Way to big of a disconnect in agriculture.
If all the useless jobs in the agriculture were eliminated half the province would starve. way to top heavy with all the rewards going to companies all of the back of producers.
I think we better stick together as producers and push to have grain contracts rolled to next year. Some companies are talking about it and some won’t even consider it. Well the ones that don’t will never see me again. I hope they go broke. We all need to boycott them.
I think we all know who the greedy ones are.

Let me play devil’s advocate here. The grain companies have pre sold this crop just like the farmer have they not? Customer’s expecting delivery?

Having said that I happen to agree with you 100%!

[Spyguy]

Let me play devil’s advocate here. The grain companies have pre sold this crop just like the farmer have they not? Customer’s expecting delivery?

Having said that I happen to agree with you 100%!

Yes they did but some companies are willing to roll with the producer covering the roll cost. Not much money in it for the company by causing farmers to go broke. Yes they can’t lose there butt neither but they have options.

[TOM4CWB]

Those provincial crop ratings already pissed me off this spring, crop conditions were never that good from the start, been dry since last fall, dry early, cold spring, hot June, where was this 80 to 90 % excellent conditions? Been a struggle all year.

Very interesting crops rating report…
Being the 23 of July, it will be very interesting how 2021 yields end up!

Here are 3 pictures of our Nexera canola which can be disappointing at 10-20% below better Liberty varieties.
First our Flagstaff Country 1030rr Nexera.

Field view,
I would put the yield at average on our fields at Killam.


Here’s Edmonton East 1028rr Nexera


This is plagued with short blasted plants, was Seeded May 4 where Flagstaff County was Seeded between May 19 and 27, with latest seeding looking the best as it missed the heat event.
My estimated Edmonton East early May 4 seeded will perhaps yield 50-70%. This Canola is Re blooming on the 10-20bu fields, better later last week of May looks like 70-80% of normal it got 2/3” today unexpectedly, so this brings up our yield possibly at East Edmonton by 20% but delays these Csnola fields back to a more normal maturity date of Sept1 with normal rain fall.

This is not over by any stretch of the imagination… the way things are going… I would stick with 14.5mmt with cooler weather that is forecast and more normal rain fall patterns in northern Alberta and SK,,, the big Canola production areas.

Cheers!

[TOM4CWB]

[QUOTE=TOM4CWB;502459]Very interesting crops rating report…
Being the 23 of July, it will be very interesting how 2021 yields end up!

Here are 3 pictures of our Nexera canola which can be disappointing at 10-20% below better Liberty varieties.
First our Flagstaff Country 1030rr Nexera.

Field view,
I would put the yield at average on our fields at Killam.


Here’s Edmonton East 1028rr Nexera


This is plagued with short blasted plants, was Seeded May 4 where Flagstaff County was Seeded between May 19 and 27, with latest seeding looking the best as it missed the heat event.
My estimated Edmonton East early May 4 seeded will perhaps yield 50-70%. This Canola is Re blooming on the 10-20bu fields, better later last week of May looks like 70-80% of normal it got 2/3” today unexpectedly, so this brings up our yield possibly at East Edmonton by 20% [with todays unexpected rain and cool weather] but delays all these Canola fields back to a more normal maturity date of Sept1 with normal rain fall. Killam has been blooming 2-3 weeks already... with cool weather long way from being done... only 2/10" rain in last week and mist at Killam... many local areas got closer to 1/2" and still blooming well.

This is not over by any stretch of the imagination… the way things are going… I would stick with 14.5mmt with cooler weather that is forecast and more normal rain fall patterns in northern Alberta and SK,,, the big Canola production areas.

All the best to everyone... there are going to be many sad early seeded barley growers especially, it looks like... the wheat took the heat the best... even if it is knee high!

[TOM4CWB]

Let me play devil’s advocate here. The grain companies have pre sold this crop just like the farmer have they not? Customer’s expecting delivery?

Having said that I happen to agree with you 100%!

Interesting on Wheat as some folks may have really low test weight…

Here are two fields,
Viewfield is perhaps 35bu/ac 50% of normal semi dwarf and knee high



The Ellerslie in waist high and looks perhaps 50bu/ac 70% of normal mid dough stage.



Cheers