Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

[shtferbrains]

Are the beaver dams holding much water?

[bucket]

Majority of farms will be figuring out how to pay for the buy backs on contracts, fertilizer will be the very last thing in the minds of the majority for a long time .

Heavy hitter sask party supporters have already given Moe and Marit their marching orders about contracts...which is a select subsidy for few.

[Grahamp]

As much as I hate to say it, I don’t see fertilizer dropping. New Crop (2022) canola is $15 and wheat is over 8. Even if they sell less because of drought conditions I don’t see them dropping the price when commodity prices are high. Canadian fert is not really driven by traditional supply and demand, it is priced by the sellers perceived value it creates for a producer. If you are 20 bpa without Nitrogen and 40 bpa at $15+ with 100 lbs of N hello $800 a tonne. Our difficulty hardship etc means nothing to them.

I remember in the early winter of 2014 when we all had good crops but could not move a single bushel, the bins were full and we didn’t have cash flow or space and all the sudden 46-0-0 was up $100 a tonne overnight. I was involved selling soybean seed and was trying to host a grower meeting and wasn’t having any luck getting people to sign up and all the sudden out of the blue 10 guys signed up in one day because they couldn’t believe fertilizer could go up in the environment we were in.

I booked about 1/3 my N a few days and am sadly confident it will be my lowest price. I hope I am wrong and look foolish but I doubt it.

[Partners]

Rp and nutrien have sheds full bought at high price.
So no deals there..
Independent..shed empty..

See what happens..

[jazz]

Finally getting some showers tonight, 3/10s on some of our land, more starting right now. Hopefully can pull half inch off. Crop can still benefit. It has really hung in there. My wheat is still green thankfully.

Storms moving quite fast though.

[makar]

Are the beaver dams holding much water?

Dropping fast, shot number 11 out of this colony on top of the dam, high side down three feet in a registered creek.

[sumdumguy]

.9 inches just east of White City. We were coming home from our special crops snoop tour. The rain came down so hard, it was difficult seeing the highway. Its been a long time since I’ve seen rain like that.

[makar]

Had a inch , just looked at the wheat at home and no way will make 20, wheat on white soil may turn out 30ish. Ass backwards.

[TOM4CWB]

Had a inch , just looked at the wheat at home and no way will make 20, wheat on white soil may turn out 30ish. Ass backwards.

Is that 5c I see at Kindersley area 1:46am? 7-8c NE AB in many dry areas....
Full moon and risk of frost July 23? I see Rosetown down to 4c....
Crazy.

Cheers

[GALAXIE500]

We had 4 degree C at our farm at 5:30 this morning. That will be the next thing to screw up what is left for a crop. Yay! I can't wait!

Think I am going to take my Galaxie out this weekend and abuse my carbon taxes by laying about a hundred feet of rubber just because I can. Some stress management is needed.

[SASKFARMER]

Cant buy a rain at our yard .2 of a tenth. I hate these new weather stations. South by town got 1/4 inch and better as you cross the valley to the south. Same path as the last three. 2.69 inches at Indian head I read. Some got a taste of rain like an eye dropper in a cup of water. It's just not our year for rain.

[chuckChuck]

chuck nice try but I will call your trip bull shit. That isn't going back and forth to the city 13 times.

You show your stupidity every time you post.

Yes, a few areas have some crops, yes guys will be forced to harvest a shitty crop.

But they are far more shitty than good.

If a farm usually in the long run grows 90 wheat and you grow 56 is that a bin buster. No its a crop that didn't meet its potential.

If your our organic guy you are happy with 10 or just over.

I love how you tried to pretend you actually took a trip got out and looked.

your a joke as usual.

Get a life Glen.

So you are the only one who gets to comment on crop conditions? LOL

Nothing wrong with what you report, but do you really think your report on the crop conditions on a limited road trip that sees well less than .1 % of the 77 million crop acres on the prairies is going to tell the whole story?

I wonder why Crop Insurance waits to process yield loss claims till after harvest so they can measure whats actually in the bins?

Yeah its going to be a less than normal crop for many farmers. What the total harvested yields and quality are, we won't know untill it is in the bin.