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Qualifications in the ag sector.

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    #11
    Originally posted by helmach View Post
    You would have too have some pretty dence rocks in your head to price any unpriced grain right now ....ohhh wait that comment came from Chuck!
    Well I may just have rocks in my head then. Made my first sale of 2020 crop year barley yesterday. And second sale of 2020 and (some)2019 feed wheat. And sold my second load of canola.
    I'm not sure that the feed grains have as much room to run given the potential corn crop coming South of the border.
    Time to take some risk off the table at incredibly high prices.
    Otherwise busy building bins to store most of the rest.

    A while back I asked Chuck about his marketing successes or failures so far this year. He responded that a commodity marketing forum is no place to be discussing commodity marketing, so don't expect any answers from him.

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      #12
      Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
      Well I may just have rocks in my head then. Made my first sale of 2020 crop year barley yesterday. And second sale of 2020 and (some)2019 feed wheat. And sold my second load of canola.
      I'm not sure that the feed grains have as much room to run given the potential corn crop coming South of the border.
      Time to take some risk off the table at incredibly high prices.
      Otherwise busy building bins to store most of the rest.

      A while back I asked Chuck about his marketing successes or failures so far this year. He responded that a commodity marketing forum is no place to be discussing commodity marketing, so don't expect any answers from him.
      More like you got big stones in your sack than rocks in your head lol.
      I sold some 2019 durum for 9.50 three weeks ago for a couple bills, now it's over 11. I feel silly

      The rest of my #1cwad and the #1 13.5 pro hrsw is locked up with the key thrown away and lost in the bush.

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        #13
        I didn't say sell all your grain right now did I? Sell a bit now and some spaced out in the next few months

        If you are confident prices are going higher then hang on as long as you want.

        But I haven't seen many farmers sell all their inventory at the peak of the market in any given year.

        Some get lucky, but if recent history proves anything, many farmers sell at lower prices.
        Last edited by chuckChuck; Jul 24, 2021, 09:47.

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          #14
          Why does Chuck always refer to farmers in the 3rd person?

          As for qualifications for media and politicians who comment on agriculture, they are the exact same qualifications that those in the climate change industry (media and politicians) have when distorting the science and the evidence to create an alarmist message targetted at the gullible low information crowd such as the double Chucks of the world.

          Most media stories are by people with soft science degrees, creative writing, social justice, etc. almost never in the hard sciences.

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            #15
            Originally posted by helmach View Post
            More like you got big stones in your sack than rocks in your head lol.
            I sold some 2019 durum for 9.50 three weeks ago for a couple bills, now it's over 11. I feel silly

            The rest of my #1cwad and the #1 13.5 pro hrsw is locked up with the key thrown away and lost in the bush.
            Local terminal has $14/ bu for new crop #1 CWAD now

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              #16
              Originally posted by SWFarmer View Post
              Local terminal has $14/ bu for new crop #1 CWAD now
              Yeah feel stoopid now too. Unloaded it all at $9.50 last month. Durum has historically fluctuated 75c in a given yr and now it moves $4 in a month.

              For AF5, what will you do with any new production that comes off this fall, store another yr or sell it and take the W? I am worried about storing another yr. I dont think prices will go higher in a yr, there will be demand rationing of some type. Or are they going to slip in some $30 futures to entice farmers to take the shot again?

              Or just take the sale and put it out of your mind. My instincts are telling me to dump er all this one yr.

              if the speculators lose interest or the fed raises interest rates or heave forbid we find another country trying to grow more canola, those prices could evaporate.

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                #17
                Jazz, I am quite pessimistic prices long-term. In my humble opinion, This isn't the beginning of the next commodity super cycle. Still have a decade or two of the long-term bear market to endure.
                So at some point soon, I will be selling everything possible including possibly some 2022 or even further production if possible.

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                  #18
                  Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
                  Why does Chuck always refer to farmers in the 3rd person?

                  As for qualifications for media and politicians who comment on agriculture, they are the exact same qualifications that those in the climate change industry (media and politicians) have when distorting the science and the evidence to create an alarmist message targetted at the gullible low information crowd such as the double Chucks of the world.

                  Most media stories are by people with soft science degrees, creative writing, social justice, etc. almost never in the hard sciences.
                  This is pretty rich coming from the guy who said "carbon is just soot". And that we are "going to run low on CO2 if we don't keep burning fossil fuels". And that human caused climate change is not happening. With a record like that you should be careful about setting yourself above others and lecturing the "gullible low information crowd" LOL

                  You respect David Schindler a world renowned scientist for his excellent science on fresh water, but when he said human caused climate change was going to have a negative impact on fresh water supplies you ignored him. Huh?

                  So are NASA, NOAA, Environment Canada and all the other scientific organizations that have mountains of research and evidence that human caused climate change is real wrong? Do you lump them in with all the other so called "gullible low information crowd"? LOL

                  You have failed over and over again to produce any credible scientific organization that says human caused climate change is not happening, or is not a serious threat. That says it all.

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                    #19
                    You just take the bait every time don't you.

                    When did I ever say that human caused climate change isn't real? Quite the opposite in fact.

                    The discussion is about the distortion of the facts and the science by the media and politicians.

                    On the climate science file, the media headlines and the political propaganda almost never bare any resemblance to the science they are reporting on.
                    Last edited by AlbertaFarmer5; Jul 25, 2021, 09:06.

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                      #20
                      Every time I present evidence from respected scientific organizations about the various impacts of human caused climate change you dispute it and say its wrong or its not happening.

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