Friday Crop Report on a Thursday!

[TOM4CWB]

SFB,
Let’s do it this way
22.5 m acres x .25 x 1t/ac = 5.625mmt
22.5 m acres x .75 x .4t/ac = 6.75mmt
= 12.375mmt Canola with out big rains in the next week.
How can barley be better than 45%- 60% with some rain 1"+ this week...?
50% Pea crop?
60% Lentil crop?
60% CPS/ CWRS /Durum WHT crop?
Looks to me like Canola is the one crop rain would still help fill, after Wednesday August 4 the other crops are basically set in yield for 2021 in western Canada.

This Canola and most of our Peas had April Edge applied,,, sure took the pressure off post emerge herbicides.


Cheers, will do a tour and report after tomorrow night.

The Inca peas seem to have taken the heat quite well... time will tell! May 10-12 seeding date

[crusher]

Tom,

Even if the 75% does half a tonne, still a long way off of 19

[TOM4CWB]

Tom,

Even if the 75% does half a tonne, still a long way off of 19

That would be 14mmt... it needs to cool off fast and get a good general rain in the black soil zone of AB and SK... to pick this increase back up... later this week...

Miracles can happen!

Cheers

[jazz]

Yields are set across 90% of western canada. There is no putting lipstick on this thing anymore. A late rain might save some weights in places yet but it wont rescue any yield. Earlier crops the winners.

[SASKFARMER]

Tom there is no way in hell this crop can recover and make up yield it’s set and plants are shutting down all over the place. Late seeded canola are done the heat the last 7 day made sure of that. Come on even a good church goer has to admit this goose is cooked.

Rain now will just build our soils for 2022.

It’s tough to admit failure but 2021 will be the poster child for it.

[Blaithin]

Did someone not previously say they know of a Grain Co predicting 10mmt?

Media and Stats Can can be saying 19 all they want but if the companies have people on the ground saying 10, and presumably telling anyone they may sell or export to that it’s 10, then the word is out there. I read something about the coverage Grain Cos have on contracts they can’t fill, they aren’t going to want people to think it’s really 19 and not that bad. They’re going to be letting buyers know.

Which leaves the question, what use is Stats Can and “official” predictions when 1) They aren’t even close to each other (eg Federally and provincial numbers) and 2) If buying and selling is based on seemingly more accurate numbers garnered by companies themselves.

Which ones are really affecting the market….