Barley shortage

[the big wheel]

Well if the market goes back to old prices we’re fu cked
It is undoable
Glyphosate has doubled since spring
So have most fertilizers
Parts are at least double, etc, etc , etc
Wonder why someone doesn’t analyze the input side instead of the commodity prices ?
And this drought is far from over

Right on Case these prices are not high
Considering yields and cost of everything
Going bananas. The entire ag programs
Need to be redone.

And we are already in drought territory
For next year no moisture what so ever
Several feet down. And it could even be worse
Than this year

[bucket]

Right on Case these prices are not high
Considering yields and cost of everything
Going bananas. The entire ag programs
Need to be redone.

And we are already in drought territory
For next year no moisture what so ever
Several feet down. And it could even be worse
Than this year

Once again , you won't see a saskeverything press release about this. Or any proactive solutions to next year.

Always reactive , dollar short and months late.

Zero vision on the commissions.

They should be worrying about next year. And if it does start to rain , at least they have put some resemblance of a proactive program in place.


My guess between the feds and th provincial government they will do nothing.


Why should we believe a climate prediction 30 years out, if they can't give us reasonable predictions for next year.


Sure wish they would have said something about the 2021 epic drought back in 2018. Would have changed my decisions.

[the big wheel]

All the parties have agreed weather can be
Bad strung out for more then one year
That’s our situation on our farm and now rhe
Programs will only pay people who had several good years
And now rhe bad one. They need it but way less than
Those of us into this for several years.
Programs have to change.

[furrowtickler]

All the parties have agreed weather can be
Bad strung out for more then one year
That’s our situation on our farm and now rhe
Programs will only pay people who had several good years
And now rhe bad one. They need it but way less than
Those of us into this for several years.
Programs have to change.

That’s the situation on many farms NE and East of here as well .
Contrary to the complete ignorance of some like Chuck that call farmers in these areas bad farmers or bad marketers , Mother Nature has dealt a very nasty hand to many areas . Not the b/s that all farmers have done very well the past few years . Reality is much different for more than what is believed or falsely be touted.
Yes some areas have been very fortunate, that’s very true , but not all

[GDR]

Here is pricing details on train loads of corn into southern AB. $9.22 per bushel.
Still not cheap. Purchaser I talked to a month or more ago said it would work out to $8.15 equivalent barley price, delivered into southern AB. Give or take the price movement in corn.
How does that compare to $9.22 for a 54 lb bushel of corn, when feed value is considered?
Also noteworthy is that Agfinity have no offers for barley right now. Could be because the bids dropped about 70 cents in about a week recently? Or are all offers picked up immediately?
[ATTACH]8666[/ATTACH]

The buyer I deal mostly with said he has booked a good portion of his needs as corn. Said pricing on corn Nov forward drops quite a bit as now new crop. Said most Alberta elevators are bringing in supply. They feed mostly chickens and dairy, there is a max amount of corn they can use for the chickens due to fat and meat color but dairy is fine going straight to corn. he thinks there is downside to feed grains but says it's not gonna crash.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

The buyer I deal mostly with said he has booked a good portion of his needs as corn. Said pricing on corn Nov forward drops quite a bit as now new crop. Said most Alberta elevators are bringing in supply. They feed mostly chickens and dairy, there is a max amount of corn they can use for the chickens due to fat and meat color but dairy is fine going straight to corn. he thinks there is downside to feed grains but says it's not gonna crash.

We might be talking to the same buyer?
Said corn wouldn't start coming in until new crop, meaning October. Which is what the offer on Agfinity is showing at $9.22 out till December. But that could be wishful thinking on the sellers part.

[farming101]

High priced feed for sure.
This pre-buying is what should have been going on last year, but instead the barley got shipped out to China.

China spot corn - 525 CAD/t
US outstanding export sales 24.2 mmt. Last year, same time frame, was 19.3 mmt

Note: September WASDE raised China's beginning stocks, production and ending stocks of corn for 2021/22

[GDR]

We might be talking to the same buyer?
Said corn wouldn't start coming in until new crop, meaning October. Which is what the offer on Agfinity is showing at $9.22 out till December. But that could be wishful thinking on the sellers part.

Its Dean at Surecrop I was talking to, maybe you deal with them but if not PM me and I will give you his contact info if you want it. Can't say enough good about them.

[AlbertaFarmer5]

Rereading this thread it appears to me barley is the one crop with not a lot of upside, would anyone disagree?

Feed barley, I would agree it will be priced in lock step with corn Plus cost to get it here. Malt party there's not much other supply in the world, could chart its own path .

[Partners]

Not sure if locals have enough malt to fill boats or trains anymore..
Premium now over future months..
Better stock up on beer just incase..