Canola Yields!

[helmsdale]

Be same thing here next year if it don’t rain this fall or next spring. I’ve never had 100% of the farm seeded to canola, but the coverage will be hard to pass up in this drought. Your move mother nature.....

Much the same as Lentils on Lentil stubble here... When you're farming crop insurance, it's by far the best payer! And honestly, if it doesnt rain, short term survival may very well trump long term agronomy.

[jazz]

Be same thing here next year if it don’t rain this fall or next spring. I’ve never had 100% of the farm seeded to canola, but the coverage will be hard to pass up in this drought. Your move mother nature.....

Its a sad commentary that farmers have to do something like that to get proper support programs in the face of a disaster.

But can crop insurance stay solvent or have to raise premiums.

[Herc]

Its a sad commentary that farmers have to do something like that to get proper support programs in the face of a disaster.

But can crop insurance stay solvent or have to raise premiums.

SCIC is probably figuring out how to cap coverage.....

[AlbertaFarmer5]

From elevator email today:
Dismal numbers released out of Alberta for expected average yields. Spring wheat at 29.5 bu/ac which is a 48% drop from last year. Canola at 25 bu/ac versus 40.2 last year. Barley at 36.3 bu/ac versus 74 last year. Peas at 22.4 bu/ac versus 41.5 last year.


Getting closer to reality.
I'm not even certain these numbers are attainable.

[Sodbuster]

25 bushels of canola will be a bumper crop around here this year.

[GOODRUM]

This what the canola looks like between Rosetown and Elrose. Just about every other field is canola and it mostly looks like this.

Jeeezus!

[sumdumguy]

Poor Canola 🥺 They mustn’t have got any rain.

[furrowtickler]

From elevator email today:
Dismal numbers released out of Alberta for expected average yields. Spring wheat at 29.5 bu/ac which is a 48% drop from last year. Canola at 25 bu/ac versus 40.2 last year. Barley at 36.3 bu/ac versus 74 last year. Peas at 22.4 bu/ac versus 41.5 last year.


Getting closer to reality.
I'm not even certain these numbers are attainable.

That will be on the high side for Sask

[BreadWinner]

I think it’s going to depend on how much rain fell from the sky.
Those with:
2 inches or less 25%of last year
2-4 inches 30-50% of last year
4-6 will be 50-75% of last year
6 plus will be in the $$$$

My guess is 75% of the province is less than 4 inches of rain.
15% is in the 4-6 category
Only 10% will be in the 6 plus category.

[WiltonRanch]

From elevator email today:
Dismal numbers released out of Alberta for expected average yields. Spring wheat at 29.5 bu/ac which is a 48% drop from last year. Canola at 25 bu/ac versus 40.2 last year. Barley at 36.3 bu/ac versus 74 last year. Peas at 22.4 bu/ac versus 41.5 last year.


Getting closer to reality.
I'm not even certain these numbers are attainable.

619 road south of vermilion guys chopping canola. Someone better be getting 60 bu yields to avg out 25. Central AB has some decent stands but enough poor ones too. Been away touring past 4 days. Been getting rains at the ranch but it’s too late now.

[furrowtickler]

I think it’s going to depend on how much rain fell from the sky.
Those with:
2 inches or less 25%of last year
2-4 inches 30-50% of last year
4-6 will be 50-75% of last year
6 plus will be in the $$$$

My guess is 75% of the province is less than 4 inches of rain.
15% is in the 4-6 category
Only 10% will be in the 6 plus category.

I would say you are probably bang on
We are in the under 4 in range .
Sad part is showers starting to come through now , but we will just hold that 30-50% yield at best no matter what now .
No doubt many areas much worse and a few much better

[furrowtickler]

619 road south of vermilion guys chopping canola. Someone better be getting 60 bu yields to avg out 25. Central AB has some decent stands but enough poor ones too. Been away touring past 4 days. Been getting rains at the ranch but it’s too late now.

Agree too late for the worst damaged areas of canola

Later Cereals will fill decent in some areas

Was nice to see a decent pocket of crops north of Lashburn today . They will do well . Not a big area but some nice crops there . I think they had a huge soil moisture reserve from the past few years .